--- title: "Peeled case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Peeled ($31.77) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 72.83% over 3,003 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled rendered: 2026-11-11T15:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Peeled](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Peeled A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled?window=all) Price · $31.77 · 48.87 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $28.58 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.83% · 3,003 openings, odds method Variance · 37.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 357 openings · below min 7 days · 76.01% ±23.61 2,600 openings 30 days · 72.83% ±21.97 3,003 openings since tracking started · 72.83% ±21.97 3,003 openings 35.5% 100.0% 164.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled?window=24h) | 357 | 100.09% ±63.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled?window=7d) | 2,600 | 76.01% ±23.6 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled) | 3,003 | 72.83% ±22.0 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peeled?window=all) | 3,003 | 72.83% ±22.0 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,025 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $3,802 5,850 gems | 26.6% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.33× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,334 2,052 gems | 14.0% | 8 | 9.1 | 0.88× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $701 1,078 gems | 12.3% | 17 | 15.1 | 1.12× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $343 527 gems | 12.0% | 26 | 30.3 | 0.86× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $187 288 gems | 13.1% | 59 | 60.5 | 0.98× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $79.43 122 gems | 8.3% | 103 | 90.8 | 1.13× | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $49.95 76.85 gems | 5.2% | 81 | 90.8 | 0.89× | | [MP7 \| Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $21.61 33.24 gems | 3.8% | 147 | 151.3 | 0.97× | | [Sawed-Off \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $10.97 16.87 gems | 1.9% | 150 | 151.3 | 0.99× | | [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 10.0% | $5.08 7.81 gems | 1.8% | 313 | 302.5 | 1.03× | | [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $2.05 3.15 gems | 0.7% | 294 | 302.5 | 0.97× | | [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) | 60.0% | $0.13 0.2 gems | 0.3% | 1,825 | 1815.0 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $3,802 5,850 gems 119.7x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $3,802 5,850 gems 119.7x 2026-11-06 18:01 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $1,334 2,052 gems 42.00x 2026-11-11 04:16 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $1,334 2,052 gems 42.00x 2026-11-09 22:12 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $1,334 2,052 gems 42.00x 2026-11-08 13:04 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $1,334 2,052 gems 42.00x 2026-11-06 17:54 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $1,334 2,052 gems 42.00x 2026-11-06 03:15 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $1,334 2,052 gems 42.00x 2026-11-05 19:06 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $1,334 2,052 gems 42.00x 2026-11-05 15:44 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $1,334 2,052 gems 42.00x 2026-11-05 03:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=peeled) [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) [Moncler](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Moncler) $31.77 48.87 gems $21.61 33.24 gems 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [AK-47 | Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $2.05 3.15 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $10.97 16.87 gems 0.35x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $701 1,078 gems 22.07x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) [Moncler](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Moncler) $31.77 48.87 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $31.77 48.87 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) [Moncler](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Moncler) $31.77 48.87 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $31.77 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.2% extraordinary 0.8% rare 1.0% classified 5.0% covert 3.0% mil spec 5.0% #8847ff 5.0% restricted 20.0% industrial 60.0% best hit $3,802 (119.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt