--- title: "Penalty Shootout case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Penalty Shootout ($91.90) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 69.67% over 152 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout rendered: 2026-11-11T19:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Penalty Shootout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Penalty Shootout A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout?window=all) Price · $91.90 · 141 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $82.70 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.67% · 152 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 72.63% ±30.58 122 openings 30 days · 69.67% ±27.40 152 openings since tracking started · 69.67% ±27.40 152 openings -0.5% 91.8% 184.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout?window=24h) | 4 | 14.46% ±168.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout?window=7d) | 122 | 72.63% ±30.6 | −1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout) | 152 | 69.67% ±27.4 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/penalty-shootout?window=all) | 152 | 69.67% ±27.4 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 152 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $956 1,470 gems | 11.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $679 1,045 gems | 16.4% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $511 786 gems | 12.4% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Frosty (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-frosty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $288 443 gems | 17.4% | 11 | 7.6 | 1.45× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $213 327 gems | 12.9% | 5 | 7.6 | 0.66× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Creme Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $155 238 gems | 9.4% | 10 | 7.6 | 1.32× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $96.20 148 gems | 5.8% | 6 | 7.6 | 0.79× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $56.11 86.33 gems | 3.4% | 4 | 7.6 | 0.53× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 30.0% | $16.63 25.58 gems | 6.0% | 49 | 45.6 | 1.07× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 40.0% | $9.95 15.31 gems | 4.8% | 64 | 60.8 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-field-tested) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $679 1,045 gems 7.39x 2026-11-10 08:58 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-factory-new) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $91.90 141 gems $511 786 gems 5.56x 2026-11-10 09:02 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-factory-new) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $511 786 gems 5.56x 2026-11-03 20:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=penalty-shootout) [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $9.95 15.31 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $16.63 25.58 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $16.63 25.58 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) [farlopero peek](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/farlopero%20peek) $91.90 141 gems $9.95 15.31 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-creme-pinstripe-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $155 238 gems 1.68x 2026-11-10 09:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $9.95 15.31 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 09:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $9.95 15.31 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 09:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $9.95 15.31 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 09:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) Hidden $91.90 141 gems $9.95 15.31 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 09:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $91.90 141 gems $9.95 15.31 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 09:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $91.90 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 18.0% sunny 2.0% rare 5.0% epic 5.0% restricted 70.0% best hit $679 (7.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt