--- title: "Phantom Troupe case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Phantom Troupe ($372.33) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 73.01% over 493 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Phantom Troupe](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Phantom Troupe A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe?window=all) Price · $372.33 · 573 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $335.10 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.01% · 493 openings, odds method Variance · 15.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 57.62% ±43.23 323 openings 30 days · 73.01% ±34.99 493 openings since tracking started · 73.01% ±34.99 493 openings -0.5% 70.8% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe?window=24h) | 34 | 8.19% ±133.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe?window=7d) | 323 | 57.62% ±43.2 | −1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe) | 493 | 73.01% ±35.0 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/phantom-troupe?window=all) | 493 | 73.01% ±35.0 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 493 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife Crimson Web (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new-2) | 1 in 100 | $12K 18,450 gems | 35.8% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $7,710 11,861 gems | 23.0% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× | | [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4,309 6,629 gems | 12.9% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,559 2,399 gems | 4.7% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $871 1,340 gems | 15.6% | 20 | 29.6 | 0.68× | | [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $137 211 gems | 2.5% | 28 | 29.6 | 0.95× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 16.0% | $69.49 107 gems | 3.3% | 91 | 78.9 | 1.15× | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) | 16.0% | $32.85 50.54 gems | 1.6% | 75 | 78.9 | 0.95× | | [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 26.0% | $8.14 12.52 gems | 0.6% | 133 | 128.2 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) | 26.0% | $1.63 2.5 gems | 0.1% | 127 | 128.2 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife Crimson Web (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new-2) [⭕⃤ katal #brokemouse](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4%20%20katal%20%23brokemouse) $372 573 gems $12K 18,450 gems 32.21x 2026-11-05 15:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife Crimson Web (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new-2) [xCK97x On Kick | CODE : CK97](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xCK97x%20On%20Kick%20%7C%20CODE%20%3A%20%20CK97) $372 573 gems $12K 18,450 gems 32.21x 2026-11-03 10:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife Crimson Web (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new-2) Hidden $372 573 gems $12K 18,450 gems 32.21x 2026-11-03 10:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $7,710 11,861 gems 20.71x 2026-11-07 07:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $7,710 11,861 gems 20.71x 2026-11-04 19:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $7,710 11,861 gems 20.71x 2026-11-04 02:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $7,710 11,861 gems 20.71x 2026-11-04 02:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $7,710 11,861 gems 20.71x 2026-11-03 10:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $4,309 6,629 gems 11.57x 2026-11-10 00:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $4,309 6,629 gems 11.57x 2026-11-06 08:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=phantom-troupe) [Sticker | Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) Hidden $372 573 gems $1.63 2.5 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $69.49 107 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $32.85 50.54 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $32.85 50.54 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $8.14 12.52 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Sticker | Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $372 573 gems $1.63 2.5 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $32.85 50.54 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [G3SG1 | Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $137 211 gems 0.37x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [Sticker | Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) Hidden $372 573 gems $1.63 2.5 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) Hidden $372 573 gems $8.14 12.52 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $372 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 1.0% covert 23.0% Knives 1.0% Covert 1.0% restricted 32.0% Mil Spec Grade 16.0% #d32ce6 26.0% best hit $12K (32.21x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt