--- title: "Pharaoh case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pharaoh ($141.24) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 5 items with odds, observed 98.13% over 177 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pharaoh](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pharaoh A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh?window=all) Price · $141.24 · 217 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $127.12 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.13% · 177 openings, odds method Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 31 openings · below min 7 days · 112.74% ±37.78 123 openings 30 days · 98.13% ±31.49 177 openings since tracking started · 98.13% ±31.49 177 openings 33.5% 109.3% 185.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh?window=24h) | 31 | 109.29% ±75.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh?window=7d) | 123 | 112.74% ±37.8 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh) | 177 | 98.13% ±31.5 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pharaoh?window=all) | 177 | 98.13% ±31.5 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 177 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 11 | $1,079 1,660 gems | 76.4% | 17 | 15.9 | 1.07× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $148 227 gems | 10.5% | 21 | 15.9 | 1.32× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $114 176 gems | 1.8% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.69× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $50.78 78.12 gems | 1.2% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| FURIA (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-antwerp-2022) | 77.0% | $16.74 25.75 gems | 10.1% | 128 | 136.3 | 0.94× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-10 15:11 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) [Surgest](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Surgest) $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-10 15:09 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-10 15:09 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-09 14:34 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-08 21:47 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) [Sponge](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sponge) $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-08 02:17 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-06 23:14 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $141 217 gems $1,079 1,660 gems 7.64x 2026-11-06 23:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pharaoh) [Sticker | FURIA (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $141 217 gems $16.74 25.75 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 15:14 UTC [Sticker | FURIA (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $141 217 gems $16.74 25.75 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 15:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $141 217 gems $148 227 gems 1.05x 2026-11-10 15:14 UTC [Sticker | FURIA (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $141 217 gems $16.74 25.75 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 15:14 UTC [Sticker | FURIA (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $141 217 gems $16.74 25.75 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 15:14 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) [Surgest](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Surgest) $141 217 gems $114 176 gems 0.81x 2026-11-10 15:14 UTC [Sticker | FURIA (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $141 217 gems $16.74 25.75 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 15:12 UTC [Sticker | FURIA (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $141 217 gems $16.74 25.75 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 15:12 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $141 217 gems $114 176 gems 0.81x 2026-11-10 15:12 UTC [Sticker | FURIA (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-furia-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $141 217 gems $16.74 25.75 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 15:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $141 | 90.00% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed exotic 9.0% covert 86.0% covert knife 2.0% restricted 3.0% best hit $1,079 (7.64x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt