--- title: "Pinks case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pinks ($7.23) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.79% over 4,239 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks rendered: 2026-11-11T18:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pinks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pinks A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks?window=all) Price · $7.23 · 11.13 gems Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $6.51 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.79% · 4,239 openings, odds method Variance · 10.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 103.65% ±24.47 689 openings 7 days · 90.92% ±10.72 3,593 openings 30 days · 90.79% ±9.87 4,239 openings since tracking started · 90.79% ±9.87 4,239 openings 78.5% 103.8% 129.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks?window=24h) | 689 | 103.65% ±24.5 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks?window=7d) | 3,593 | 90.92% ±10.7 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks) | 4,239 | 90.79% ±9.87 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinks?window=all) | 4,239 | 90.79% ±9.87 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,263 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $176 271 gems | 20.3% | 34 | 32.0 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $150 231 gems | 17.3% | 30 | 32.0 | 0.94× | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $99.52 153 gems | 15.3% | 44 | 42.6 | 1.03× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $70.40 108 gems | 21.6% | 88 | 85.3 | 1.03× | | [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-well-worn) | 10.0% | $5.20 8 gems | 8.0% | 401 | 426.3 | 0.94× | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 10.0% | $2.43 3.74 gems | 3.7% | 414 | 426.3 | 0.97× | | [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-well-worn) | 10.0% | $1.63 2.5 gems | 2.5% | 405 | 426.3 | 0.95× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 17.5% | $1.32 2.03 gems | 3.5% | 712 | 746.0 | 0.95× | | [UMP-45 \| K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-battle-scarred) | 23.0% | $1.16 1.79 gems | 4.1% | 1,016 | 980.5 | 1.04× | | [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.93 1.43 gems | 3.6% | 1,119 | 1065.8 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pinks) [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $2.43 3.74 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $2.43 3.74 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Shinobu (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-well-worn) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $1.63 2.5 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $70.40 108 gems 9.73x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-battle-scarred) [Deca DBOL/Trenbolone](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Deca%20DBOL%2FTrenbolone) $7.23 11.13 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Shinobu (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-well-worn) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $1.63 2.5 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $2.43 3.74 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.23 11.13 gems $176 271 gems 24.37x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $7.23 | 89.95% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 31.3% Legendary 0.8% pink 58.0% uncommon 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt