--- title: "Pinnacle case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pinnacle ($15.44) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 12 items with odds, observed 88.27% over 4,932 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pinnacle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pinnacle A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle?window=all) Price · $15.44 · 23.76 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $13.89 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.27% · 4,932 openings, odds method Variance · 22.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 100.70% ±38.90 562 openings 7 days · 91.40% ±14.57 4,004 openings 30 days · 88.27% ±13.13 4,932 openings since tracking started · 88.27% ±13.13 4,932 openings 61.0% 100.5% 140.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle?window=24h) | 562 | 100.70% ±38.9 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle?window=7d) | 4,004 | 91.40% ±14.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle) | 4,932 | 88.27% ±13.1 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pinnacle?window=all) | 4,932 | 88.27% ±13.1 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,052 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,361 2,094 gems | 19.6% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× | | [Sticker \| apEX (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apex-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 250 | $525 808 gems | 15.1% | 17 | 20.2 | 0.84× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $323 498 gems | 9.3% | 14 | 20.2 | 0.69× | | [★ Shadow Daggers knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers) | 1 in 100 | $81.25 125 gems | 5.8% | 46 | 50.5 | 0.91× | | [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $54.60 84 gems | 7.9% | 100 | 101.0 | 0.99× | | [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $38.84 59.76 gems | 8.4% | 137 | 151.6 | 0.90× | | [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $25.83 39.74 gems | 9.3% | 253 | 252.6 | 1.00× | | [Charm \| Baby Karat T charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-t) | 1 in 20 | $19.50 30 gems | 7.0% | 254 | 252.6 | 1.01× | | [M4A4 \| Global Offensive (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-global-offensive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $14.81 22.78 gems | 8.5% | 406 | 404.2 | 1.00× | | [USP-S \| Para Green (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-field-tested) | 10.0% | $6.68 10.27 gems | 4.8% | 503 | 505.2 | 1.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 20.0% | $2.10 3.23 gems | 3.0% | 1,002 | 1010.4 | 0.99× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-battle-scarred) | 45.0% | $0.38 0.58 gems | 1.2% | 2,308 | 2273.4 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-10 20:14 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-08 13:18 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [✪KillaBerg69](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%9C%AAKillaBerg69) $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-07 14:07 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-07 14:01 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-07 00:31 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-06 16:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-06 01:34 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $1,361 2,094 gems 88.14x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pinnacle) [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $0.38 0.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $0.38 0.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $2.10 3.23 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $0.38 0.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $0.38 0.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-battle-scarred) [Chonky Cat](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chonky%20Cat) $15.44 23.76 gems $0.38 0.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $0.38 0.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC [USP-S | Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $25.83 39.74 gems 1.67x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $2.10 3.23 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.44 23.76 gems $0.38 0.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $15.44 | 89.97% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 2 10.0% #ffd700 0.2% Sticker 0.4% covert 1.4% violet 2.0% restricted 3.0% classified 5.0% #eb4b4b 5.0% Rare 8.0% uncommon 20.0% common 45.0% best hit $1,361 (88.14x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt