--- title: "Pistols Only! case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pistols Only! ($21.68) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 97.12% over 771 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907 rendered: 2026-11-12T04:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pistols Only!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pistols Only! A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907?window=all) Price · $21.68 · 33.36 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $19.51 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.12% · 771 openings, odds method Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 29 openings · below min 7 days · 93.79% ±14.59 579 openings 30 days · 97.12% ±12.64 771 openings since tracking started · 97.12% ±12.64 771 openings 78.5% 145.0% 211.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907?window=24h) | 29 | 145.71% ±65.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907?window=7d) | 579 | 93.79% ±14.6 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907) | 771 | 97.12% ±12.6 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pistols-only-2279907?window=all) | 771 | 97.12% ±12.6 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 771 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $169 260 gems | 17.3% | 15 | 15.4 | 0.97× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $131 202 gems | 20.2% | 21 | 23.1 | 0.91× | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $89.55 138 gems | 32.1% | 67 | 54.0 | 1.24× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $54.54 83.91 gems | 22.4% | 70 | 61.7 | 1.13× | | [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $3.14 4.83 gems | 3.2% | 129 | 154.2 | 0.84× | | [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 20.0% | $2.24 3.44 gems | 2.3% | 166 | 154.2 | 1.08× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 20.0% | $2.12 3.26 gems | 2.2% | 140 | 154.2 | 0.91× | | [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.37 0.57 gems | 0.4% | 163 | 154.2 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pistols-only-2279907) [P250 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $21.68 33.36 gems $2.12 3.26 gems 0.10x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.68 33.36 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) [SVJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/SVJ) $21.68 33.36 gems $169 260 gems 7.79x 2026-11-12 01:15 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.68 33.36 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) [Michael Olise](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Michael%20Olise) $21.68 33.36 gems $2.24 3.44 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.68 33.36 gems $3.14 4.83 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.68 33.36 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.68 33.36 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [M0rt](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/M0rt) $21.68 33.36 gems $54.54 83.91 gems 2.52x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) Hidden $21.68 33.36 gems $89.55 138 gems 4.13x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $21.68 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% Ancient 7.0% red 8.0% restricted 20.0% uncommon 20.0% classified 20.0% Mythical 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt