--- title: "Pocket Knife case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pocket Knife ($48.24) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 6 items with odds, observed 78.18% over 670 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife rendered: 2026-11-11T23:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pocket Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pocket Knife A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife?window=all) Price · $48.24 · 74.22 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $43.41 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.18% · 670 openings, odds method Variance · 9.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 56 openings · below min 7 days · 75.72% ±28.04 473 openings 30 days · 78.18% ±23.56 670 openings since tracking started · 78.18% ±23.56 670 openings 47.0% 142.3% 237.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife?window=24h) | 56 | 155.46% ±81.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife?window=7d) | 473 | 75.72% ±28.0 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife) | 670 | 78.18% ±23.6 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-knife?window=all) | 670 | 78.18% ±23.6 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 685 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $853 1,313 gems | 39.3% | 7 | 13.7 | 0.51× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $579 890 gems | 26.6% | 12 | 13.7 | 0.88× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $303 466 gems | 14.0% | 25 | 13.7 | 1.82× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $212 327 gems | 9.8% | 8 | 13.7 | 0.58× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $145 224 gems | 6.7% | 19 | 13.7 | 1.39× | | [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) | 90.0% | $1.74 2.68 gems | 3.6% | 614 | 616.5 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $853 1,313 gems 17.69x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $853 1,313 gems 17.69x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $853 1,313 gems 17.69x 2026-11-10 14:27 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $853 1,313 gems 17.69x 2026-11-10 14:12 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $853 1,313 gems 17.69x 2026-11-08 11:53 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $853 1,313 gems 17.69x 2026-11-04 06:41 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $853 1,313 gems 17.69x 2026-11-03 18:15 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $579 890 gems 11.99x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $579 890 gems 11.99x 2026-11-10 13:46 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $579 890 gems 11.99x 2026-11-09 22:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pocket-knife) [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $303 466 gems 6.28x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) [colin](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/colin) $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) [zyro](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/zyro) $48.24 74.22 gems $1.74 2.68 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $48.24 | 89.99% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 2.0% epic 2.0% covert 4.0% covert knife 2.0% restricted 90.0% best hit $853 (17.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt