--- title: "Pocket Sized case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pocket Sized ($6.44) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.92% from 10 items with odds, observed 83.31% over 3,550 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pocket Sized](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pocket Sized A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized?window=all) Price · $6.44 · 9.9 gems Advertised RTP · 89.92% · EV $5.79 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.31% · 3,550 openings, odds method Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.36% ±23.78 410 openings 7 days · 83.83% ±8.72 3,048 openings 30 days · 83.31% ±8.08 3,550 openings since tracking started · 83.31% ±8.08 3,550 openings 61.0% 85.5% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized?window=24h) | 410 | 85.36% ±23.8 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized?window=7d) | 3,048 | 83.83% ±8.72 | −1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized) | 3,550 | 83.31% ±8.08 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pocket-sized?window=all) | 3,550 | 83.31% ±8.08 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,615 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $198 304 gems | 17.1% | 12 | 18.1 | 0.66× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $53.30 82 gems | 13.8% | 49 | 54.2 | 0.90× | | [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $21.24 32.67 gems | 11.0% | 118 | 108.5 | 1.09× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $18.38 28.28 gems | 15.9% | 161 | 180.8 | 0.89× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.91 15.25 gems | 17.1% | 378 | 361.5 | 1.05× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $5.95 9.16 gems | 10.3% | 355 | 361.5 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $3.58 5.5 gems | 6.2% | 352 | 361.5 | 0.97× | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.59 2.44 gems | 5.5% | 700 | 723.0 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.71 1.09 gems | 2.4% | 725 | 723.0 | 1.00× | | [Five-SeveN \| Sky Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.20 0.31 gems | 0.7% | 765 | 723.0 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pocket-sized) [Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) Hidden $6.44 9.9 gems $1.59 2.44 gems 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 9.9 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 9.9 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) [ExeKeyboard](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ExeKeyboard) $6.44 9.9 gems $0.71 1.09 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) Hidden $6.44 9.9 gems $9.91 15.25 gems 1.54x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC [Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 9.9 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC [Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-minimal-wear) [rendeto1](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rendeto1) $6.44 9.9 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) Hidden $6.44 9.9 gems $9.91 15.25 gems 1.54x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC [Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.44 9.9 gems $3.58 5.5 gems 0.56x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC [Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.44 9.9 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6.44 | 89.92% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 38.5% Covert 1.5% restricted 10.0% red 10.0% #8847ff 20.0% Uncommon 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.92 on average: an expected loss of $10.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt