--- title: "Precision case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Precision ($231.87) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 78.40% over 1,333 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Precision](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Precision A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision?window=all) Price · $231.87 · 357 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $208.68 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.40% · 1,333 openings, odds method Variance · 28.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 86.25% ±32.00 1,057 openings 30 days · 78.40% ±28.50 1,333 openings since tracking started · 78.40% ±28.50 1,333 openings 9.0% 160.0% 311.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision?window=24h) | 48 | 159.99% ±150.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision?window=7d) | 1,057 | 86.25% ±32.0 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision) | 1,333 | 78.40% ±28.5 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/precision?window=all) | 1,333 | 78.40% ±28.5 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,353 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $15.6K 23,973 gems | 37.3% | 2 | 6.8 | 0.30× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $6,966 10,717 gems | 16.7% | 11 | 6.8 | 1.63× | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $2,730 4,200 gems | 13.1% | 13 | 13.5 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $878 1,351 gems | 8.4% | 30 | 27.1 | 1.11× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $470 723 gems | 4.5% | 34 | 27.1 | 1.26× | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $316 486 gems | 6.1% | 67 | 54.1 | 1.24× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 10.0% | $179 275 gems | 8.6% | 148 | 135.3 | 1.09× | | [USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $46.53 71.59 gems | 3.3% | 216 | 202.9 | 1.06× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 30.0% | $11.31 17.4 gems | 1.6% | 368 | 405.9 | 0.91× | | [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 35.0% | $2.30 3.54 gems | 0.4% | 464 | 473.6 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $232 357 gems $15.6K 23,973 gems 67.20x 2026-11-05 22:13 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $232 357 gems $15.6K 23,973 gems 67.20x 2026-11-05 15:29 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $6,966 10,717 gems 30.04x 2026-11-10 23:18 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $232 357 gems $6,966 10,717 gems 30.04x 2026-11-09 00:27 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $6,966 10,717 gems 30.04x 2026-11-07 22:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $6,966 10,717 gems 30.04x 2026-11-07 22:06 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $6,966 10,717 gems 30.04x 2026-11-07 15:57 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $6,966 10,717 gems 30.04x 2026-11-04 23:37 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $6,966 10,717 gems 30.04x 2026-11-04 23:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) [⭕⃤ katal #brokemouse](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4%20%20katal%20%23brokemouse) $232 357 gems $6,966 10,717 gems 30.04x 2026-11-04 23:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=precision) [USP-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $46.53 71.59 gems 0.20x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $179 275 gems 0.77x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $11.31 17.4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $11.31 17.4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [Sticker | compLexity Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $232 357 gems $878 1,351 gems 3.79x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) [BOTAIRTXonKICK Refbot,ai 50kLBs](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BOTAIRTXonKICK%20Refbot%2Cai%2050kLBs) $232 357 gems $2.30 3.54 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $11.31 17.4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [USP-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $46.53 71.59 gems 0.20x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $179 275 gems 0.77x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $179 275 gems 0.77x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $232 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 3.5% legendary 0.5% high 2.0% covert 34.0% restricted 25.0% pink 35.0% best hit $15.6K (67.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt