--- title: "Presience case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Presience ($249.37) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 77.72% over 54 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Presience](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Presience A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience?window=all) Price · $249.37 · 384 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $224.43 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.72% · 54 openings, odds method Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 54 openings · below min since tracking started · 54 openings · below min -0.5% 83.8% 168.0% **Small sample.** 54 openings and 8.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience?window=24h) | 6 | 0.58% ±166.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience?window=7d) | 36 | 50.46% ±68.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience) | 54 | 77.72% ±55.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/presience?window=all) | 54 | 77.72% ±55.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 68 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1,462 2,248 gems | 97.7% | 12 | 10.2 | 1.18× | | [AUG \| Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) | 10.0% | $36.72 56.49 gems | 1.6% | 5 | 6.8 | 0.74× | | [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 10.0% | $8.09 12.44 gems | 0.4% | 10 | 6.8 | 1.47× | | [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.63 10.2 gems | 0.3% | 5 | 6.8 | 0.74× | | [MP9 \| Sand Scale (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-scale-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.34 0.53 gems | 0.0% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.18× | | [SCAR-20 \| Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.08 0.12 gems | 0.0% | 11 | 10.2 | 1.08× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 0.0% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.88× | | [P90 \| Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 0.0% | 8 | 10.2 | 0.78× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-09 00:11 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-07 17:29 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-07 10:07 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-04 04:37 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-04 02:34 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-04 02:34 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-04 02:34 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-02 23:48 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) [RazRacer](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/RazRacer) $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-02 22:42 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $1,462 2,248 gems 5.86x 2026-11-02 22:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=presience) [P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-minimal-wear) Hidden $249 384 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $8.09 12.44 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $249 384 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [MP9 | Sand Scale (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-scale-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $249 384 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $6.63 10.2 gems 0.03x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) Hidden $249 384 gems $8.09 12.44 gems 0.03x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) [Headed](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Headed) $249 384 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $249 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 15.0% restricted 10.0% classified 20.0% mil spec 10.0% consumer 30.0% Consumer Grade 15.0% best hit $1,462 (5.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt