--- title: "Prism case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Prism ($68.16) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 82.04% over 2,788 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Prism](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Prism A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism?window=all) Price · $68.16 · 105 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $61.34 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.04% · 2,788 openings, odds method Variance · 36.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 263 openings · below min 7 days · 85.61% ±23.70 2,506 openings 30 days · 82.04% ±22.47 2,788 openings since tracking started · 82.04% ±22.47 2,788 openings 12.5% 86.5% 160.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism?window=24h) | 263 | 86.47% ±73.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism?window=7d) | 2,506 | 85.61% ±23.7 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism) | 2,788 | 82.04% ±22.5 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prism?window=all) | 2,788 | 82.04% ±22.5 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,870 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 667 | $7,085 10,900 gems | 17.3% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 667 | $6,496 9,993 gems | 15.9% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.16× | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $2,256 3,472 gems | 11.0% | 5 | 8.6 | 0.58× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $2,127 3,272 gems | 13.9% | 11 | 11.5 | 0.96× | | [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $162 250 gems | 13.2% | 145 | 143.5 | 1.01× | | [Souvenir MP7 \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 25.0% | $50.47 77.64 gems | 20.6% | 713 | 717.5 | 0.99× | | [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 69.0% | $7.18 11.05 gems | 8.1% | 1,988 | 1980.3 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7,085 10,900 gems 103.9x 2026-11-05 22:04 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7,085 10,900 gems 103.9x 2026-11-05 21:44 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7,085 10,900 gems 103.9x 2026-11-04 23:58 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $6,496 9,993 gems 95.30x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $6,496 9,993 gems 95.30x 2026-11-09 23:28 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $6,496 9,993 gems 95.30x 2026-11-08 18:58 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) [izaivars](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/izaivars) $68.16 105 gems $6,496 9,993 gems 95.30x 2026-11-07 10:02 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $6,496 9,993 gems 95.30x 2026-11-07 03:00 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $2,256 3,472 gems 33.11x 2026-11-10 09:01 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $2,256 3,472 gems 33.11x 2026-11-08 00:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=prism) [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7.18 11.05 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $50.47 77.64 gems 0.74x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7.18 11.05 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $68.16 105 gems $7.18 11.05 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7.18 11.05 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7.18 11.05 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $50.47 77.64 gems 0.74x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7.18 11.05 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) Hidden $68.16 105 gems $7.18 11.05 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) [BolpyFR](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BolpyFR) $68.16 105 gems $50.47 77.64 gems 0.74x 2026-11-11 10:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $68.16 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.5% remarkable 0.1% extraordinary 0.4% Mil Spec Grade 25.0% classified 69.0% best hit $7,085 (103.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt