---
title: "Prisma 2 Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Prisma 2 Case ($1.70) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.75% from 41 items with odds, observed 101.62% over 8,373 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Prisma 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Prisma 2 Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case?window=all)

Price · $1.70 · 2.62 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.75% · EV $1.53 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.62% · 8,373 openings, odds method

Variance · 73.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 179 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 776 openings · below min

7 days · 89.74% ±20.96 6,380 openings

30 days · 101.62% ±18.30 8,373 openings

since tracking started · 101.62% ±18.30 8,373 openings

60.0% 120.8% 181.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case?window=24h) | 776 | 120.59% ±60.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case?window=7d) | 6,380 | 89.74% ±21.0 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case) | 8,373 | 101.62% ±18.3 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case?window=all) | 8,373 | 101.62% ±18.3 | +1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,474 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $630 969 gems | 4.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $520 800 gems | 3.4% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $509 784 gems | 3.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $400 615 gems | 2.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $398 612 gems | 2.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $323 497 gems | 2.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $319 490 gems | 2.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $285 438 gems | 1.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $270 416 gems | 1.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $260 400 gems | 1.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $253 389 gems | 1.7% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $208 320 gems | 1.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $205 316 gems | 1.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $205 316 gems | 1.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $172 265 gems | 1.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $131 201 gems | 0.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $113 174 gems | 0.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $103 159 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $100 154 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $95.32 147 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $82.66 127 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $79.43 122 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $66.86 103 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $66.48 102 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $63.99 98.45 gems | 13.4% | 34 | 27.1 | 1.25× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $23.22 35.73 gems | 4.9% | 34 | 27.1 | 1.25× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $7.06 10.86 gems | 4.9% | 115 | 90.3 | 1.27× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $5.93 9.12 gems | 4.1% | 83 | 90.3 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $5.67 8.73 gems | 4.0% | 111 | 90.3 | 1.23× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.17 1.8 gems | 2.4% | 257 | 270.8 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-factory-new) | 11.4% | $1.14 1.75 gems | 8.5% | 945 | 967.5 | 0.98× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.99 1.53 gems | 2.1% | 266 | 270.8 | 0.98× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.99 1.52 gems | 2.1% | 291 | 270.8 | 1.07× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.96 1.47 gems | 2.0% | 276 | 270.8 | 1.02× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.90 1.38 gems | 1.9% | 273 | 270.8 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.88 1.35 gems | 6.6% | 961 | 967.5 | 0.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.16 0.24 gems | 1.2% | 976 | 967.5 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.15 0.23 gems | 1.1% | 1,009 | 967.5 | 1.04× |
| [MP5-SD \| Desert Strike (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 1.1% | 895 | 967.5 | 0.93× |
| [Negev \| Prototype (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-prototype-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.13 0.2 gems | 1.0% | 937 | 967.5 | 0.97× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.13 0.2 gems | 1.0% | 989 | 969.4 | 1.02× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $630 969 gems 369.9x 2026-11-03 07:43 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Diesel\_G84@CODE:DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Diesel_G84%40CODE%3ADGN) $1.70 2.62 gems $520 800 gems 305.3x 2026-11-03 23:58 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $520 800 gems 305.3x 2026-11-03 07:32 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $509 784 gems 299.1x 2026-11-03 07:32 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $400 615 gems 234.6x 2026-11-10 18:34 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $398 612 gems 233.6x 2026-11-08 01:39 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $285 438 gems 167.2x 2026-11-05 11:07 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $270 416 gems 158.8x 2026-11-11 00:20 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $260 400 gems 152.7x 2026-11-05 10:44 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $253 389 gems 148.4x 2026-11-07 00:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=prisma-2-case)

[AWP | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $1.14 1.75 gems 0.67x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $0.88 1.35 gems 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $0.88 1.35 gems 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $1.17 1.8 gems 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $1.17 1.8 gems 0.69x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) [ByRcHyZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ByRcHyZ) $1.70 2.62 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:04 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $1.17 1.8 gems 0.69x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $0.90 1.38 gems 0.53x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC

[AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-factory-new) Hidden $1.70 2.62 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.70 | 89.75% | 41 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% covert 0.8% epic 0.0% Covert 0.0% other 0.0% rare 0.0% gold 0.0% classified 3.2% restricted 16.0% #4b69ff 22.8% mil spec 11.4% milspec 11.4% Rare 22.8% blue 11.4% best hit $630 (369.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.75 on average: an expected loss of $10.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt