---
title: "Prisma Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Prisma Case ($1.77) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.90% from 41 items with odds, observed 87.79% over 11.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Prisma Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Prisma Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case?window=all)

Price · $1.77 · 2.72 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.90% · EV $1.59 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.79% · 11.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 68.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 182 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98.30% ±48.52 1,118 openings

7 days · 87.70% ±16.10 10.2K openings

30 days · 87.79% ±15.27 11.3K openings

since tracking started · 87.79% ±15.27 11.3K openings

49.0% 98.3% 147.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case?window=24h) | 1,118 | 98.30% ±48.5 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case?window=7d) | 10.2K | 87.70% ±16.1 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case) | 11.3K | 87.79% ±15.3 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case?window=all) | 11.3K | 87.79% ±15.3 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $630 969 gems | 4.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $520 800 gems | 3.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $509 784 gems | 3.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $400 615 gems | 2.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $398 612 gems | 2.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $323 497 gems | 2.0% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.60× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $319 490 gems | 2.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $285 438 gems | 1.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $270 416 gems | 1.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $260 400 gems | 1.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $253 389 gems | 1.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $208 320 gems | 1.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $205 316 gems | 1.3% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.60× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $205 316 gems | 1.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $172 265 gems | 1.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $131 201 gems | 0.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $113 174 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $103 159 gems | 0.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $100 154 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $95.32 147 gems | 0.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $82.66 127 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $79.43 122 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $71.08 109 gems | 14.3% | 35 | 36.9 | 0.95× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $66.86 103 gems | 0.4% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $66.48 102 gems | 0.4% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $8.16 12.56 gems | 5.5% | 121 | 122.9 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $6.86 10.55 gems | 13.8% | 390 | 368.6 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $6.47 9.96 gems | 1.3% | 37 | 36.9 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $5.97 9.18 gems | 4.0% | 131 | 122.9 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.96 3.01 gems | 3.9% | 373 | 368.6 | 1.01× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.87 1.34 gems | 1.8% | 362 | 368.6 | 0.98× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $0.83 1.27 gems | 0.6% | 126 | 122.9 | 1.02× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.75 1.16 gems | 1.5% | 379 | 368.6 | 1.03× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.70 1.07 gems | 1.4% | 346 | 368.6 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.60 0.92 gems | 4.3% | 1,321 | 1316.7 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.36 0.55 gems | 2.6% | 1,303 | 1316.7 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.28 0.43 gems | 2.0% | 1,318 | 1316.7 | 1.00× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.25 0.38 gems | 1.8% | 1,294 | 1316.7 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.24 0.37 gems | 1.7% | 1,328 | 1316.7 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Verdigris (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-verdigris-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.23 0.36 gems | 1.7% | 1,306 | 1316.7 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Mischief (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-minimal-wear) | 11.4% | $0.20 0.31 gems | 1.5% | 1,334 | 1319.4 | 1.01× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [sKRUF10](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/sKRUF10) $1.77 2.72 gems $509 784 gems 288.1x 2026-11-09 20:45 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) [West Side Dog](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/West%20Side%20Dog) $1.77 2.72 gems $400 615 gems 226.0x 2026-11-11 03:37 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $400 615 gems 226.0x 2026-11-09 20:24 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $398 612 gems 225.0x 2026-11-05 12:27 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Kapekala](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kapekala) $1.77 2.72 gems $323 497 gems 182.9x 2026-11-09 11:07 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [JUSTIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/JUSTIN) $1.77 2.72 gems $323 497 gems 182.9x 2026-11-05 22:47 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $323 497 gems 182.9x 2026-11-04 18:21 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [W\*\*\*v](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/W***v-11893857) $1.77 2.72 gems $319 490 gems 180.1x 2026-11-07 16:38 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [BigboiSoiSauce](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BigboiSoiSauce) $1.77 2.72 gems $319 490 gems 180.1x 2026-11-04 12:19 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $285 438 gems 161.0x 2026-11-09 20:42 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=prisma-case)

[MP7 | Mischief (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $0.36 0.55 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $6.86 10.55 gems 3.88x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $0.24 0.37 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[P250 | Verdigris (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-verdigris-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) [MisterEuropaPark](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MisterEuropaPark) $1.77 2.72 gems $0.24 0.37 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $0.36 0.55 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $0.60 0.92 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $0.36 0.55 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) [ByRcHyZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ByRcHyZ) $1.77 2.72 gems $0.60 0.92 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.77 | 89.90% | 41 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% covert 0.8% epic 0.0% Covert 0.0% other 0.0% rare 0.0% gold 0.0% classified 3.2% restricted 16.0% Rare 11.4% mil spec 68.5% best hit $509 (288.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.90 on average: an expected loss of $10.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt