---
title: "Private Jet case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Private Jet ($10.23) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 9 items with odds, observed 101.26% over 10.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Private Jet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Private Jet

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet?window=all)

Price · $10.23 · 15.74 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $9.20 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.26% · 10.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 38.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 100.37% ±35.46 1,170 openings

7 days · 100.19% ±13.01 8,692 openings

30 days · 101.26% ±11.70 10.8K openings

since tracking started · 101.26% ±11.70 10.8K openings

64.5% 100.5% 136.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet?window=24h) | 1,170 | 100.37% ±35.5 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet?window=7d) | 8,692 | 100.19% ±13.0 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet) | 10.8K | 101.26% ±11.7 | +1.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/private-jet?window=all) | 10.8K | 101.26% ±11.7 | +1.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $629 968 gems | 68.4% | 131 | 109.2 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $80.24 123 gems | 8.7% | 107 | 109.2 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $57.14 87.9 gems | 6.2% | 115 | 109.2 | 1.05× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $49.48 76.12 gems | 5.4% | 104 | 109.2 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $30.54 46.98 gems | 3.3% | 105 | 109.2 | 0.96× |
| [P2000 \| Coach Class (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-coach-class-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $8.63 13.28 gems | 0.9% | 102 | 109.2 | 0.93× |
| [P90 \| Leather (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-leather-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $4.36 6.71 gems | 0.5% | 101 | 109.2 | 0.93× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) | 45.0% | $1.09 1.67 gems | 5.3% | 4,934 | 4912.7 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Calf Skin (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-calf-skin-factory-new) | 48.0% | $0.25 0.38 gems | 1.3% | 5,218 | 5240.2 | 1.00× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 17:32 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) [JeffJenko](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/JeffJenko) $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 16:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 07:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $629 968 gems 61.52x 2026-11-11 07:15 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=private-jet)

[MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-calf-skin-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC

[MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-calf-skin-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC

[MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-calf-skin-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $10.23 15.74 gems $1.09 1.67 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $10.23 | 89.97% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 1.0% restricted 2.0% mil spec 47.0% industrial 2.0% Uncommon 48.0% best hit $629 (61.52x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
