--- title: "Prodigy-Extreme case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Prodigy-Extreme ($1,635.20) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 82.61% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Prodigy-Extreme](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Prodigy-Extreme A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme?window=all) Price · $1,635.20 · 2,516 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,471.67 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.61% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 6.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 134.8% 270.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme?window=24h) | 6 | 61.52% ±207.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme?window=7d) | 24 | 93.01% ±104.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme) | 30 | 82.61% ±93.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prodigy-extreme?window=all) | 30 | 82.61% ±93.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $35.3K 54,290 gems | 6.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 133 | $34.1K 52,500 gems | 17.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 40 | $15.7K 24,100 gems | 26.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $6,003 9,235 gems | 10.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 10.0% | $3,135 4,823 gems | 21.3% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) | 20.0% | $1,336 2,055 gems | 18.2% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.17× | | [P250 \| Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) | 32.0% | $15.50 23.85 gems | 0.3% | 6 | 9.6 | 0.63× | | [Sticker \| Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) | 32.0% | $0.77 1.18 gems | 0.0% | 12 | 9.6 | 1.25× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $15.7K 24,100 gems 9.58x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $6,003 9,235 gems 3.67x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $1,635 2,516 gems $3,135 4,823 gems 1.92x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $3,135 4,823 gems 1.92x 2026-11-06 12:56 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $3,135 4,823 gems 1.92x 2026-11-04 14:48 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 0.82x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 0.82x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 0.82x 2026-11-06 12:56 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 0.82x 2026-11-04 14:48 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 0.82x 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=prodigy-extreme) [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $6,003 9,235 gems 3.67x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $0.77 1.18 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC [P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $15.50 23.85 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $0.77 1.18 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC [P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $15.50 23.85 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) [trickytrash](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trickytrash) $1,635 2,516 gems $0.77 1.18 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 14:20 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $15.7K 24,100 gems 9.58x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $0.77 1.18 gems 0.00x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 0.82x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $1,635 2,516 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 0.82x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $1,635 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 13.5% covert 22.5% restricted 32.0% High Grade 32.0% best hit $15.7K (9.58x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt