--- title: "Profit Abuser case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Profit Abuser ($1.50) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.91% from 5 items with odds, observed 91.14% over 14.3K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser rendered: 2026-11-11T14:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Profit Abuser](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Profit Abuser A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser?window=all) Price · $1.50 · 2.31 gems Advertised RTP · 89.91% · EV $1.35 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.14% · 14.3K openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.14% ±6.57 1,155 openings 7 days · 90.41% ±2.00 12.5K openings 30 days · 91.14% ±1.87 14.3K openings since tracking started · 91.14% ±1.87 14.3K openings 83.0% 90.3% 97.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser?window=24h) | 1,155 | 90.14% ±6.57 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser?window=7d) | 12.5K | 90.41% ±2.00 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser) | 14.3K | 91.14% ±1.87 | +1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-abuser?window=all) | 14.3K | 91.14% ±1.87 | +1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.4K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) | 10.0% | $4.69 7.22 gems | 34.8% | 1,466 | 1442.6 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.11 4.79 gems | 23.1% | 1,476 | 1442.6 | 1.02× | | [P250 \| Red Rock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $3.09 4.75 gems | 22.9% | 1,443 | 1442.6 | 1.00× | | [Nova \| Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.49 3.83 gems | 18.4% | 1,466 | 1442.6 | 1.02× | | [MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 60.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.9% | 8,575 | 8655.7 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=profit-abuser) [Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $4.69 7.22 gems 3.13x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $4.69 7.22 gems 3.13x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) [𝓰𝓸𝓭𝓶𝓲𝓻𝓳𝓪](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%F0%9D%93%B0%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%AD%F0%9D%93%B6%F0%9D%93%B2%F0%9D%93%BB%F0%9D%93%B3%F0%9D%93%AA) $1.50 2.31 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 2.07x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC [Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-red-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $2.49 3.83 gems 1.66x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $4.69 7.22 gems 3.13x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) [𝓰𝓸𝓭𝓶𝓲𝓻𝓳𝓪](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%F0%9D%93%B0%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%AD%F0%9D%93%B6%F0%9D%93%B2%F0%9D%93%BB%F0%9D%93%B3%F0%9D%93%AA) $1.50 2.31 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 2.07x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 2.07x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.50 | 89.91% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 30.0% #8847ff 10.0% milspec 60.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.91 on average: an expected loss of $10.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt