--- title: "Profit Farm case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Profit Farm ($0.13) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.86% from 6 items with odds, observed 82.16% over 29.3K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm rendered: 2026-11-11T21:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Profit Farm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Profit Farm A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm?window=all) Price · $0.13 · 0.2 gems Advertised RTP · 87.86% · EV $0.11 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.16% · 29.3K openings, odds method Variance · 421.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,111 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3,102 openings · below min 7 days · 89.09% ±25.97 24K openings 30 days · 82.16% ±23.50 29.3K openings since tracking started · 82.16% ±23.50 29.3K openings 47.0% 120.0% 193.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm?window=24h) | 3,102 | 119.99% ±72.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm?window=7d) | 24K | 89.09% ±26.0 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm) | 29.3K | 82.16% ±23.5 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/profit-farm?window=all) | 29.3K | 82.16% ±23.5 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29.8K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $75.06 115 gems | 26.3% | 14 | 11.9 | 1.17× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $73.01 112 gems | 32.0% | 11 | 14.9 | 0.74× | | [AWP \| LongDog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $66.56 102 gems | 29.1% | 14 | 14.9 | 0.94× | | [MP5-SD \| Neon Squeezer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.04 gems | 4.6% | 5,756 | 5957.6 | 0.97× | | [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-battle-scarred) | 30.9% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 5.3% | 9,312 | 9192.6 | 1.01× | | [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) | 49.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 2.8% | 14,681 | 14596.1 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-11 15:41 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-11 15:29 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) [remo-](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/remo-) $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-10 17:27 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-09 13:15 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-08 20:01 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-08 11:36 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-08 00:01 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) [cap\*\*\*ino](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/cap***ino-11878946) $0.13 0.2 gems $75.06 115 gems 577.3x 2026-11-07 19:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=profit-farm) [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [elo hell](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/elo%20hell) $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:16 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-battle-scarred) [elo hell](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/elo%20hell) $0.13 0.2 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-neon-squeezer-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.13 | 87.86% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 0.0% covert 0.1% Ancient 0.1% #5e98d9 20.0% mil spec 30.9% consumer 49.0% best hit $75.06 (577.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.86 on average: an expected loss of $12.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt