---
title: "PURE 5% LUCK 🍀 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "PURE 5% LUCK 🍀 ($16.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 126.67% over 240 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [PURE 5% LUCK 🍀](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · PURE 5% LUCK 🍀

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck?window=all)

Price · $16.25 · 25 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 126.67% · 240 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 144 openings · below min

7 days · 198 openings · below min

30 days · 240 openings · below min

since tracking started · 240 openings · below min

11.0% 151.7% 292.5%

**Small sample.** 240 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck?window=24h) | 144 | 97.19% ±76.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck?window=7d) | 198 | 152.69% ±139.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck) | 240 | 126.67% ±114.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-5percent-luck?window=all) | 240 | 126.67% ±114.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-factory-new) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $2,069 3,183 gems 127.3x 2026-11-09 18:17 UTC

[★ Karambit | Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-vanilla) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $657 1,010 gems 40.41x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pure-5percent-luck)

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) [fredsol](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fredsol) $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[★ Karambit | Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-vanilla) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $657 1,010 gems 40.41x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

[Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $2,069 (127.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 126.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $126.67 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
