---
title: "Pure Gold case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Pure Gold ($311.60) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 69.10% over 112 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pure Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pure Gold

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold?window=all)

Price · $311.60 · 479 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $280.44 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 69.10% · 112 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 69.10% ±25.70 112 openings

30 days · 69.10% ±25.70 112 openings

since tracking started · 69.10% ±25.70 112 openings

42.5% 69.0% 95.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold?window=7d) | 112 | 69.10% ±25.7 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold) | 112 | 69.10% ±25.7 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pure-gold?window=all) | 112 | 69.10% ±25.7 | −1.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 112 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,936 13,748 gems | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 15.0% | $986 1,517 gems | 52.7% | 8 | 16.8 | 0.48× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 15.0% | $482 741 gems | 25.8% | 20 | 16.8 | 1.19× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 10.0% | $182 280 gems | 6.5% | 15 | 11.2 | 1.34× |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 15.0% | $74.42 114 gems | 4.0% | 21 | 16.8 | 1.25× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-well-worn) | 15.0% | $57.99 89.21 gems | 3.1% | 12 | 16.8 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 15.0% | $44.79 68.91 gems | 2.4% | 23 | 16.8 | 1.37× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 14.9% | $44.17 67.95 gems | 2.3% | 13 | 16.7 | 0.78× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-10 14:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [Ricky#HESDEAD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ricky%23HESDEAD) $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-10 00:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-07 19:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-07 12:31 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-06 23:14 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-06 10:49 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-06 10:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-06 10:47 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pure-gold)

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $312 479 gems $482 741 gems 1.55x 2026-11-10 14:10 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $312 479 gems $482 741 gems 1.55x 2026-11-10 14:10 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $312 479 gems $182 280 gems 0.58x 2026-11-10 14:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $312 479 gems $986 1,517 gems 3.16x 2026-11-10 14:10 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $312 479 gems $482 741 gems 1.55x 2026-11-10 14:10 UTC

[M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) [trickytrash](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trickytrash) $312 479 gems $74.42 114 gems 0.24x 2026-11-10 14:10 UTC

[M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) Hidden $312 479 gems $74.42 114 gems 0.24x 2026-11-10 00:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $312 479 gems $44.79 68.91 gems 0.14x 2026-11-10 00:47 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $312 479 gems $482 741 gems 1.55x 2026-11-10 00:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $312 479 gems $44.79 68.91 gems 0.14x 2026-11-10 00:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $312 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 55.1% epic 15.0% extraordinary 15.0% Ancient 14.9% best hit $986 (3.16x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
