--- title: "Purple Lucky Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Purple Lucky Case ($2.31) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 103.26% over 76 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case rendered: 2026-11-12T01:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Purple Lucky Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Purple Lucky Case A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case?window=all) Price · $2.31 · 3.56 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 103.26% · 76 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 76 openings · below min 30 days · 76 openings · below min since tracking started · 76 openings · below min -0.5% 141.3% 283.0% **Small sample.** 76 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case?window=24h) | 28 | 18.45% ±22.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case?window=7d) | 76 | 103.26% ±178.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case) | 76 | 103.26% ±178.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-lucky-case?window=all) | 76 | 103.26% ±178.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Kukri Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems $161 247 gems 69.38x 2026-11-10 11:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=purple-lucky-case) [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-factory-new) [ｓｔａｙ ᵀʳⁱᵖᵖʸ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%EF%BD%93%EF%BD%94%EF%BD%81%EF%BD%99%20%E1%B5%80%CA%B3%E2%81%B1%E1%B5%96%E1%B5%96%CA%B8) $2.31 3.56 gems $6.97 10.73 gems 3.01x 2026-11-11 10:30 UTC [Sticker | Dirty Money sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dirty-money) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems $0.29 0.44 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 10:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:27 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-battle-scarred) [ｓｔａｙ ᵀʳⁱᵖᵖʸ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%EF%BD%93%EF%BD%94%EF%BD%81%EF%BD%99%20%E1%B5%80%CA%B3%E2%81%B1%E1%B5%96%E1%B5%96%CA%B8) $2.31 3.56 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $2.31 3.56 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $161 (69.38x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 103.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $103.26 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt