--- title: "Purple Pack case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Purple Pack ($80.54) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 92.10% over 433 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack rendered: 2026-11-11T17:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Purple Pack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Purple Pack A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack?window=all) Price · $80.54 · 124 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $72.48 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.10% · 433 openings, odds method Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 95.55% ±25.74 400 openings 30 days · 92.10% ±24.74 433 openings since tracking started · 92.10% ±24.74 433 openings 9.5% 80.3% 151.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack?window=24h) | 54 | 80.20% ±70.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack?window=7d) | 400 | 95.55% ±25.7 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack) | 433 | 92.10% ±24.7 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/purple-pack?window=all) | 433 | 92.10% ±24.7 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 433 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,438 2,212 gems | 19.8% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.39× | | [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $888 1,367 gems | 24.5% | 8 | 8.7 | 0.92× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $639 982 gems | 17.6% | 8 | 8.7 | 0.92× | | [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $353 543 gems | 14.6% | 11 | 13.0 | 0.85× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $192 296 gems | 8.0% | 12 | 13.0 | 0.92× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $120 184 gems | 5.0% | 15 | 13.0 | 1.15× | | [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $38.83 59.74 gems | 1.6% | 13 | 13.0 | 1.00× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $16.87 25.96 gems | 3.0% | 55 | 56.3 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) | 70.0% | $6.08 9.36 gems | 5.9% | 305 | 303.1 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $1,438 2,212 gems 17.85x 2026-11-10 14:54 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $1,438 2,212 gems 17.85x 2026-11-08 02:23 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $1,438 2,212 gems 17.85x 2026-11-08 00:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $1,438 2,212 gems 17.85x 2026-11-07 08:04 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $1,438 2,212 gems 17.85x 2026-11-07 08:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $1,438 2,212 gems 17.85x 2026-11-04 23:00 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Energetic Lion](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Energetic%20Lion) $80.54 124 gems $888 1,367 gems 11.03x 2026-11-11 11:00 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $888 1,367 gems 11.03x 2026-11-06 19:26 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $888 1,367 gems 11.03x 2026-11-06 19:25 UTC [★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $888 1,367 gems 11.03x 2026-11-06 19:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=purple-pack) [P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $6.08 9.36 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $6.08 9.36 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $353 543 gems 4.38x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $6.08 9.36 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $192 296 gems 2.39x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) [HayzeusC](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HayzeusC) $80.54 124 gems $6.08 9.36 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $6.08 9.36 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $6.08 9.36 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $6.08 9.36 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC [★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $80.54 124 gems $353 543 gems 4.38x 2026-11-11 11:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $80.54 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% Covert 5.0% covert knife 3.0% sunny 3.0% violet 73.0% classified 13.0% best hit $1,438 (17.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt