--- title: "R8ted case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "R8ted ($4.04) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 9 items with odds, observed 88.63% over 3,750 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [R8ted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · R8ted A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted?window=all) Price · $4.04 · 6.21 gems Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $3.63 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.63% · 3,750 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.72% ±20.72 336 openings 7 days · 90.25% ±6.53 3,378 openings 30 days · 88.63% ±6.20 3,750 openings since tracking started · 88.63% ±6.20 3,750 openings 69.5% 90.8% 112.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted?window=24h) | 336 | 90.72% ±20.7 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted?window=7d) | 3,378 | 90.25% ±6.53 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted) | 3,750 | 88.63% ±6.20 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/r8ted?window=all) | 3,750 | 88.63% ±6.20 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,776 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $43.43 66.81 gems | 35.9% | 110 | 113.3 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.76 22.7 gems | 20.3% | 180 | 188.8 | 0.95× | | [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $8.01 12.32 gems | 16.5% | 292 | 283.2 | 1.03× | | [R8 Revolver \| Canal Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.52 5.42 gems | 9.7% | 385 | 377.6 | 1.02× | | [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1.87 2.88 gems | 6.4% | 477 | 472.0 | 1.01× | | [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1.18 1.82 gems | 4.1% | 505 | 472.0 | 1.07× | | [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1.11 1.71 gems | 3.8% | 449 | 472.0 | 0.95× | | [R8 Revolver \| Leafhopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-leafhopper-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.63 0.97 gems | 2.6% | 571 | 566.4 | 1.01× | | [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) | 22.0% | $0.10 0.15 gems | 0.6% | 807 | 830.7 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=r8ted) [R8 Revolver | Reboot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) Hidden $4.04 6.21 gems $1.87 2.88 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 12:07 UTC [R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $4.04 6.21 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:07 UTC [R8 Revolver | Canal Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-canal-spray-factory-new) Hidden $4.04 6.21 gems $3.52 5.42 gems 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:07 UTC [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $4.04 6.21 gems $0.10 0.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:07 UTC [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) Hidden $4.04 6.21 gems $0.10 0.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $4.04 6.21 gems $1.18 1.82 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-leafhopper-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.04 6.21 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [R8 Revolver | Reboot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) Hidden $4.04 6.21 gems $1.87 2.88 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) Hidden $4.04 6.21 gems $0.10 0.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crimson-web-factory-new) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $4.04 6.21 gems $14.76 22.7 gems 3.66x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $4.04 | 89.94% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% Mil Spec Grade 5.0% classified 7.5% consumer 10.0% restricted 25.0% #8847ff 12.5% industrial 15.0% blue 22.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt