--- title: "Rage case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rage ($96.14) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 68.70% over 137 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Rage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Rage A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage?window=all) Price · $96.14 · 148 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $86.53 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 68.70% · 137 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 57.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 61.75% ±25.69 100 openings 30 days · 68.70% ±21.95 137 openings since tracking started · 68.70% ±21.95 137 openings -0.5% 64.3% 129.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage?window=24h) | 6 | 23.59% ±104.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage?window=7d) | 100 | 61.75% ±25.7 | −2.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage) | 137 | 68.70% ±21.9 | −1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rage?window=all) | 137 | 68.70% ±21.9 | −1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 143 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $805 1,238 gems | 9.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $430 662 gems | 9.9% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.75× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $330 508 gems | 15.3% | 8 | 5.7 | 1.40× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $214 330 gems | 14.9% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $185 285 gems | 17.1% | 9 | 11.4 | 0.79× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 10.0% | $125 192 gems | 14.4% | 14 | 14.3 | 0.98× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 12.0% | $120 185 gems | 16.7% | 9 | 17.2 | 0.52× | | [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 27.0% | $6.58 10.12 gems | 2.1% | 45 | 38.6 | 1.17× | | [Sticker \| Into The Breach (Glitter) \| Paris 2023 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-into-the-breach-glitter-paris-2023) | 30.0% | $0.80 1.23 gems | 0.3% | 45 | 42.9 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=rage) [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $6.58 10.12 gems 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Sticker | Into The Breach (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-into-the-breach-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Sticker | Into The Breach (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-into-the-breach-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $6.58 10.12 gems 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $120 185 gems 1.25x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Sticker | Into The Breach (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-into-the-breach-glitter-paris-2023) [Sleepy Jackalope](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sleepy%20Jackalope) $96.14 148 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $6.58 10.12 gems 0.07x 2026-11-10 13:50 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $6.58 10.12 gems 0.07x 2026-11-10 13:50 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $6.58 10.12 gems 0.07x 2026-11-10 13:50 UTC [Sticker | Into The Breach (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-into-the-breach-glitter-paris-2023) Hidden $96.14 148 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 13:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $96.14 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 66.0% extraordinary 4.0% Mythical 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt