--- title: "Rain Storm case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rain Storm ($87.05) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 115.00% over 144 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Rain Storm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Rain Storm A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm?window=all) Price · $87.05 · 134 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $78.35 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 115.00% · 144 openings, odds method Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 46 openings · below min 7 days · 121.88% ±30.26 130 openings 30 days · 115.00% ±28.75 144 openings since tracking started · 115.00% ±28.75 144 openings 51.0% 102.5% 154.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm?window=24h) | 46 | 102.45% ±50.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm?window=7d) | 130 | 121.88% ±30.3 | +2.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm) | 144 | 115.00% ±28.8 | +1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rain-storm?window=all) | 144 | 115.00% ±28.8 | +1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 144 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $568 874 gems | 36.3% | 10 | 7.2 | 1.39× | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 10.0% | $354 545 gems | 45.2% | 20 | 14.4 | 1.39× | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 10.0% | $90.92 140 gems | 11.6% | 11 | 14.4 | 0.76× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $40.13 61.74 gems | 2.6% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× | | [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $13.31 20.48 gems | 0.8% | 10 | 7.2 | 1.39× | | [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $10.07 15.49 gems | 1.9% | 17 | 21.6 | 0.79× | | [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $3.37 5.19 gems | 1.1% | 39 | 36.0 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| rain \| Boston 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-boston-2018) | 25.0% | $1.62 2.49 gems | 0.5% | 33 | 36.0 | 0.92× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) [VarsityGambles](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/VarsityGambles) $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-10 20:25 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-09 03:13 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-08 19:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-08 19:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-08 19:38 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-05 03:18 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-05 03:18 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-04 19:49 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) [Lukii](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lukii) $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-04 19:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=rain-storm) [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $354 545 gems 4.07x 2026-11-11 07:53 UTC [Sticker | rain | Boston 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-boston-2018) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $1.62 2.49 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 07:53 UTC [SSG 08 | Tropical Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $3.37 5.19 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 07:53 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $10.07 15.49 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 07:53 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $10.07 15.49 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 07:53 UTC [Sticker | rain | Boston 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-boston-2018) [Energetic Lion](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Energetic%20Lion) $87.05 134 gems $1.62 2.49 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 07:53 UTC [Sticker | rain | Boston 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-boston-2018) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $1.62 2.49 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $568 874 gems 6.53x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $90.92 140 gems 1.04x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [Sticker | rain | Boston 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-boston-2018) Hidden $87.05 134 gems $1.62 2.49 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $87.05 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 5.0% covert 10.0% classified 10.0% restricted 5.0% mil spec 5.0% industrial 15.0% #5E98D9 25.0% High Grade 25.0% best hit $568 (6.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt