--- title: "Rainbow Roads case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rainbow Roads ($98.84) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 79.91% over 210 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Rainbow Roads](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Rainbow Roads A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads?window=all) Price · $98.84 · 152 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $88.95 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.91% · 210 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 64 openings · below min 7 days · 81.39% ±33.47 160 openings 30 days · 79.91% ±29.22 210 openings since tracking started · 79.91% ±29.22 210 openings 35.0% 88.5% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads?window=24h) | 64 | 88.39% ±52.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads?window=7d) | 160 | 81.39% ±33.5 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads) | 210 | 79.91% ±29.2 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rainbow-roads?window=all) | 210 | 79.91% ±29.2 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 216 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,148 1,765 gems | 25.8% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.46× | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $803 1,235 gems | 27.1% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.23× | | [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $372 573 gems | 16.7% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $171 263 gems | 11.5% | 7 | 13.0 | 0.54× | | [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 26.0% | $41.81 64.32 gems | 12.2% | 61 | 56.2 | 1.09× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-block-18-factory-new) | 26.0% | $17.11 26.32 gems | 5.0% | 51 | 56.2 | 0.91× | | [Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-factory-new) | 33.0% | $4.38 6.74 gems | 1.6% | 79 | 71.3 | 1.11× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Smiling Grizzly](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Smiling%20Grizzly) $98.84 152 gems $1,148 1,765 gems 11.61x 2026-11-04 15:23 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $1,148 1,765 gems 11.61x 2026-11-04 04:33 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) [rami](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rami) $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-07 08:00 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-05 23:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-05 21:14 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-05 01:11 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-04 08:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=rainbow-roads) [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $41.81 64.32 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $4.38 6.74 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $41.81 64.32 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $41.81 64.32 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-analog-input-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $4.38 6.74 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $98.84 152 gems $41.81 64.32 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 12:30 UTC [★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $803 1,235 gems 8.12x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $372 573 gems 3.77x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) Hidden $98.84 152 gems $41.81 64.32 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC [★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) [Daxo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Daxo) $98.84 152 gems $372 573 gems 3.77x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $98.84 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% pink 26.0% #8847ff 26.0% restricted 33.0% best hit $1,148 (11.61x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt