--- title: "Rains and Pours case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rains and Pours ($231.85) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 87.31% over 351 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours rendered: 2026-11-12T01:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Rains and Pours](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Rains and Pours A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours?window=all) Price · $231.85 · 357 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $208.66 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.31% · 351 openings, odds method Variance · 14.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 92.01% ±48.98 234 openings 30 days · 87.31% ±39.99 351 openings since tracking started · 87.31% ±39.99 351 openings -0.5% 89.3% 179.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours?window=24h) | 24 | 25.33% ±152.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours?window=7d) | 234 | 92.01% ±49.0 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours) | 351 | 87.31% ±40.0 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rains-and-pours?window=all) | 351 | 87.31% ±40.0 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 397 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $5,212 8,019 gems | 74.9% | 13 | 11.9 | 1.09× | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $373 574 gems | 14.3% | 37 | 31.8 | 1.16× | | [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) | 10.0% | $159 245 gems | 7.6% | 38 | 39.7 | 0.96× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $44.92 69.11 gems | 2.2% | 38 | 39.7 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 20.0% | $7.77 11.95 gems | 0.7% | 85 | 79.4 | 1.07× | | [SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 24.0% | $1.22 1.87 gems | 0.1% | 91 | 95.3 | 0.96× | | [PP-Bizon \| Water Sigil (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.86 1.33 gems | 0.1% | 95 | 99.3 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-08 19:20 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-08 16:15 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-07 01:48 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-06 18:59 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-06 11:01 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-06 08:01 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-05 12:27 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-04 00:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-03 03:21 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $5,212 8,019 gems 22.48x 2026-11-03 03:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=rains-and-pours) [PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $0.86 1.33 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $373 574 gems 1.61x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-water-sigil-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $0.86 1.33 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $232 357 gems $7.77 11.95 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $1.22 1.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $7.77 11.95 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $7.77 11.95 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $232 357 gems $7.77 11.95 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $232 357 gems $1.22 1.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $232 357 gems $7.77 11.95 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $232 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 3.0% covert 8.0% classified 30.0% restricted 10.0% mil spec 49.0% best hit $5,212 (22.48x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt