--- title: "Reactor Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Reactor Case ($34.63) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 91.47% over 1,534 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Reactor Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Reactor Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case?window=all) Price · $34.63 · 53.27 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $31.16 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.47% · 1,534 openings, odds method Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 108.07% ±42.74 158 openings 7 days · 94.12% ±15.05 1,274 openings 30 days · 91.47% ±13.72 1,534 openings since tracking started · 91.47% ±13.72 1,534 openings 64.5% 108.0% 151.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case?window=24h) | 158 | 108.07% ±42.7 | +0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case?window=7d) | 1,274 | 94.12% ±15.1 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case) | 1,534 | 91.47% ±13.7 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reactor-case?window=all) | 1,534 | 91.47% ±13.7 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,582 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $792 1,219 gems | 25.4% | 15 | 15.8 | 0.95× | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $411 633 gems | 13.2% | 19 | 15.8 | 1.20× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $325 499 gems | 10.4% | 12 | 15.8 | 0.76× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $164 253 gems | 5.3% | 18 | 15.8 | 1.14× | | [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $124 190 gems | 4.0% | 18 | 15.8 | 1.14× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $63.16 97.17 gems | 10.1% | 84 | 79.1 | 1.06× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 10.0% | $49.36 75.94 gems | 15.8% | 152 | 158.2 | 0.96× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 10.0% | $27.06 41.63 gems | 8.7% | 146 | 158.2 | 0.92× | | [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 15.0% | $10.97 16.87 gems | 5.3% | 244 | 237.3 | 1.03× | | [MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-factory-new) | 25.0% | $1.55 2.38 gems | 1.2% | 390 | 395.5 | 0.99× | | [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $0.57 0.87 gems | 0.5% | 484 | 474.6 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [dar0ske](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/dar0ske) $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-10 05:50 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [HRMN](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HRMN) $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-09 16:34 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Mi-No-Taur](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mi-No-Taur) $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-09 16:27 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-09 12:07 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-08 03:28 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-07 23:31 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-07 23:18 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-06 13:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=reactor-case) [UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $0.57 0.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $0.57 0.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $0.57 0.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $124 190 gems 3.57x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $792 1,219 gems 22.88x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) [super tomato](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/super%20tomato) $34.63 53.27 gems $0.57 0.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [MP9 | Goo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $1.55 2.38 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $10.97 16.87 gems 0.32x 2026-11-11 09:24 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $27.06 41.63 gems 0.78x 2026-11-11 09:24 UTC [UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) Hidden $34.63 53.27 gems $0.57 0.87 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $34.63 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 1.0% covert 13.0% gold 1.0% mil spec 5.0% #8847ff 10.0% classified 15.0% restricted 55.0% best hit $792 (22.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt