--- title: "REBOOT.exe case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "REBOOT.exe ($16.04) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 11 items with odds, observed 84.21% over 5,935 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [REBOOT.exe](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · REBOOT.exe A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe?window=all) Price · $16.04 · 24.68 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $14.43 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.21% · 5,935 openings, odds method Variance · 68.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 143 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 46.80% ±54.63 875 openings 7 days · 86.89% ±22.84 5,006 openings 30 days · 84.21% ±20.98 5,935 openings since tracking started · 84.21% ±20.98 5,935 openings -0.5% 55.0% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe?window=24h) | 875 | 46.80% ±54.6 | −1.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe?window=7d) | 5,006 | 86.89% ±22.8 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe) | 5,935 | 84.21% ±21.0 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rebootexe?window=all) | 5,935 | 84.21% ±21.0 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,035 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,440 5,293 gems | 23.8% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,167 3,334 gems | 15.0% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $827 1,273 gems | 5.7% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.66× | | [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $325 500 gems | 4.5% | 18 | 12.1 | 1.49× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $232 356 gems | 3.2% | 13 | 12.1 | 1.08× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $107 165 gems | 2.2% | 13 | 18.1 | 0.72× | | [FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-bad-trip-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $67.59 104 gems | 4.7% | 57 | 60.4 | 0.94× | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $36.38 55.97 gems | 7.6% | 192 | 181.0 | 1.06× | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $18.92 29.11 gems | 13.1% | 576 | 603.5 | 0.95× | | [Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $7.77 11.96 gems | 8.1% | 885 | 905.3 | 0.98× | | [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) | 70.0% | $2.48 3.82 gems | 12.0% | 4,267 | 4224.5 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) [Ota\*\*\*i30](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ota***i30-11267985) $16.04 24.68 gems $3,440 5,293 gems 214.5x 2026-11-10 01:22 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $3,440 5,293 gems 214.5x 2026-11-09 23:28 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $3,440 5,293 gems 214.5x 2026-11-07 19:33 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $3,440 5,293 gems 214.5x 2026-11-07 14:51 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $3,440 5,293 gems 214.5x 2026-11-07 14:22 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) [smurf6](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/smurf6) $16.04 24.68 gems $3,440 5,293 gems 214.5x 2026-11-04 23:47 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [Goofy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Goofy) $16.04 24.68 gems $2,167 3,334 gems 135.1x 2026-11-09 23:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2,167 3,334 gems 135.1x 2026-11-09 14:26 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [Holy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Holy) $16.04 24.68 gems $2,167 3,334 gems 135.1x 2026-11-07 19:58 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [Daim](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Daim) $16.04 24.68 gems $2,167 3,334 gems 135.1x 2026-11-04 15:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=rebootexe) [Galil AR | Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $18.92 29.11 gems 1.18x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2.48 3.82 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2.48 3.82 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2.48 3.82 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2.48 3.82 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2.48 3.82 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:56 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2.48 3.82 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2.48 3.82 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-field-tested) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $2.48 3.82 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [Galil AR | Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.04 24.68 gems $18.92 29.11 gems 1.18x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $16.04 | 89.97% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 3.3% covert 0.5% restricted 10.2% red 1.0% industrial 15.0% pink 70.0% best hit $3,440 (214.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt