--- title: "Red v Blue case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Red v Blue ($4,406.28) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 138.31% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue rendered: 2026-11-11T18:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Red v Blue](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Red v Blue A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue?window=all) Price · $4,406.28 · 6,779 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $3,965.61 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 138.31% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 10.0% 138.3% 266.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue) | 12 | 138.31% ±127.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/red-v-blue?window=all) | 12 | 138.31% ±127.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $34.1K 52,500 gems | 43.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $32.5K 50,000 gems | 41.0% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $7,204 11,083 gems | 9.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3,543 5,450 gems | 4.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $683 1,050 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $491 756 gems | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| rox (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rox-holo-antwerp-2022) | 70.0% | $54.85 84.39 gems | 1.0% | 8 | 8.4 | 0.95× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,406 6,779 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 7.38x 2026-11-03 23:41 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,406 6,779 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 7.38x 2026-11-03 23:41 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $4,406 6,779 gems $7,204 11,083 gems 1.63x 2026-11-03 23:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=red-v-blue) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $4,406 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 10.0% covert 5.0% contraband 5.0% classified 10.0% pink 70.0% best hit $32.5K (7.38x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt