--- title: "Regent case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Regent ($7.51) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.93% from 4 items with odds, observed 75.74% over 5,582 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Regent](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Regent A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent?window=all) Price · $7.51 · 11.55 gems Advertised RTP · 89.93% · EV $6.75 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.74% · 5,582 openings, odds method Variance · 27.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72.52% ±41.73 607 openings 7 days · 74.60% ±15.08 4,650 openings 30 days · 75.74% ±13.76 5,582 openings since tracking started · 75.74% ±13.76 5,582 openings 30.0% 72.5% 115.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.93% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (61.98% – 89.50%, 5,582 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent?window=24h) | 607 | 72.52% ±41.7 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent?window=7d) | 4,650 | 74.60% ±15.1 | −2.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent) | 5,582 | 75.74% ±13.8 | −2.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/regent?window=all) | 5,582 | 75.74% ±13.8 | −2.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,639 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 40 | $253 389 gems | 93.6% | 116 | 141.0 | 0.82× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Crown graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-crown) | 17.5% | $1.29 1.98 gems | 3.3% | 977 | 986.8 | 0.99× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Little Crown graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-little-crown) | 30.0% | $0.33 0.51 gems | 1.5% | 1,754 | 1691.7 | 1.04× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Skull n' Crosshairs graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-skull-n-crosshairs) | 50.0% | $0.22 0.34 gems | 1.6% | 2,792 | 2819.5 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=regent) [Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-little-crown) Hidden $7.51 11.55 gems $0.33 0.51 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Skull n' Crosshairs graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-skull-n-crosshairs) Hidden $7.51 11.55 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Skull n' Crosshairs graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-skull-n-crosshairs) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $7.51 11.55 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Crown graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-crown) Hidden $7.51 11.55 gems $1.29 1.98 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-little-crown) Hidden $7.51 11.55 gems $0.33 0.51 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Crown graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-crown) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $7.51 11.55 gems $1.29 1.98 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 14:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Crown graffiti · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-crown) Hidden $7.51 11.55 gems $1.29 1.98 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Skull n' Crosshairs graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-skull-n-crosshairs) Hidden $7.51 11.55 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Skull n' Crosshairs graffiti · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-skull-n-crosshairs) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $7.51 11.55 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Little Crown graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-little-crown) Hidden $7.51 11.55 gems $0.33 0.51 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $7.51 | 89.93% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed exotic 2.5% Mythical 17.5% other 30.0% Rare 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.93 on average: an expected loss of $10.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt