---
title: "Resolution case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Resolution ($32.07) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 95.16% over 1,853 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Resolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Resolution

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution?window=all)

Price · $32.07 · 49.34 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $28.86 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.16% · 1,853 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.65% ±30.63 358 openings

7 days · 94.11% ±14.58 1,580 openings

30 days · 95.16% ±13.46 1,853 openings

since tracking started · 95.16% ±13.46 1,853 openings

53.5% 84.7% 116.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution?window=24h) | 358 | 84.65% ±30.6 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution?window=7d) | 1,580 | 94.11% ±14.6 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution) | 1,853 | 95.16% ±13.5 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolution?window=all) | 1,853 | 95.16% ±13.5 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,895 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $572 881 gems | 39.7% | 38 | 37.9 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $312 480 gems | 21.6% | 45 | 37.9 | 1.19× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $186 287 gems | 19.4% | 61 | 56.9 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $88.43 136 gems | 9.2% | 49 | 56.9 | 0.86× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $25.92 39.88 gems | 4.5% | 99 | 94.8 | 1.04× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.33 22.04 gems | 2.5% | 110 | 94.8 | 1.16× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.51 10.02 gems | 2.3% | 191 | 189.5 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $1.18 1.81 gems | 0.8% | 388 | 379.0 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) | 50.0% | $0.06 0.09 gems | 0.1% | 914 | 947.5 | 0.96× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) [( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%E1%B4%A5%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%29) $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) [Clever Beaver](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Clever%20Beaver) $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-11 11:24 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-11 07:55 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-10 19:28 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-10 19:28 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-10 17:58 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $572 881 gems 17.85x 2026-11-10 11:09 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=resolution)

[M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $14.33 22.04 gems 0.45x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $1.18 1.81 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $1.18 1.81 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) [☦︎Theta](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%98%A6%EF%B8%8ETheta) $32.07 49.34 gems $1.18 1.81 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $14.33 22.04 gems 0.45x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $6.51 10.02 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) Hidden $32.07 49.34 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $32.07 | 89.99% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 27.0% rare 3.0% pink 20.0% light blue 50.0% best hit $572 (17.85x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
