--- title: "Resolutions Recoil case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Resolutions Recoil ($70.38) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 11 items with odds, observed 89.24% over 1,573 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Resolutions Recoil](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Resolutions Recoil A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil?window=all) Price · $70.38 · 108 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $63.33 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.24% · 1,573 openings, odds method Variance · 15.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98 openings · below min 7 days · 84.58% ±21.87 1,278 openings 30 days · 89.24% ±19.72 1,573 openings since tracking started · 89.24% ±19.72 1,573 openings -0.5% 78.5% 157.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil?window=24h) | 98 | 77.93% ±79.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil?window=7d) | 1,278 | 84.58% ±21.9 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil) | 1,573 | 89.24% ±19.7 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/resolutions-recoil?window=all) | 1,573 | 89.24% ±19.7 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,573 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,980 4,585 gems | 23.5% | 3 | 7.9 | 0.38× | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $2,014 3,099 gems | 15.9% | 14 | 7.9 | 1.78× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,007 1,549 gems | 15.9% | 19 | 15.7 | 1.21× | | ["AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested-2) | 1 in 100 | $703 1,081 gems | 11.1% | 15 | 15.7 | 0.95× | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $344 529 gems | 10.9% | 30 | 31.5 | 0.95× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $128 197 gems | 4.1% | 28 | 31.5 | 0.89× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $63.82 98.18 gems | 3.0% | 43 | 47.2 | 0.91× | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 10.0% | $42.24 64.98 gems | 6.7% | 170 | 157.3 | 1.08× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $21.21 32.63 gems | 3.3% | 119 | 157.3 | 0.76× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 10.0% | $11.66 17.94 gems | 1.8% | 144 | 157.3 | 0.92× | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) | 60.0% | $3.99 6.14 gems | 3.8% | 988 | 943.8 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) [Sleepy Jackalope](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sleepy%20Jackalope) $70.38 108 gems $2,980 4,585 gems 42.35x 2026-11-10 19:18 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $2,980 4,585 gems 42.35x 2026-11-07 10:03 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $2,980 4,585 gems 42.35x 2026-11-05 01:16 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $2,014 3,099 gems 28.62x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $2,014 3,099 gems 28.62x 2026-11-09 22:25 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $2,014 3,099 gems 28.62x 2026-11-09 03:58 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) [DrippY](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/DrippY) $70.38 108 gems $2,014 3,099 gems 28.62x 2026-11-08 23:54 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $2,014 3,099 gems 28.62x 2026-11-08 20:13 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $2,014 3,099 gems 28.62x 2026-11-07 23:02 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $2,014 3,099 gems 28.62x 2026-11-07 22:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=resolutions-recoil) [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $11.66 17.94 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC [AK-47 | Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $42.24 64.98 gems 0.60x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) [\[MLP\] Pinkie Pie](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%5BMLP%5D%20%20Pinkie%20Pie) $70.38 108 gems $21.21 32.63 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $128 197 gems 1.82x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) Hidden $70.38 108 gems $3.99 6.14 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC ["AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested-2) [\[MLP\] Pinkie Pie](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%5BMLP%5D%20%20Pinkie%20Pie) $70.38 108 gems $703 1,081 gems 9.98x 2026-11-11 17:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $70.38 | 89.99% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.5% classified 12.5% other 1.0% red 23.0% light blue 60.0% best hit $2,980 (42.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt