--- title: "Retro Vibes case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Retro Vibes ($55.61) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 82.10% over 99 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Retro Vibes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Retro Vibes A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes?window=all) Price · $55.61 · 85.56 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $50.05 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.10% · 99 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 98 openings · below min 30 days · 99 openings · below min since tracking started · 99 openings · below min 38.0% 80.0% 122.0% **Small sample.** 99 openings and 14.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes?window=24h) | 54 | 80.07% ±41.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes?window=7d) | 98 | 81.49% ±30.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes) | 99 | 82.10% ±30.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/retro-vibes?window=all) | 99 | 82.10% ±30.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 99 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $465 715 gems | 27.8% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $163 251 gems | 16.3% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.40× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $117 180 gems | 16.4% | 2 | 6.9 | 0.29× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $79.43 122 gems | 14.3% | 17 | 8.9 | 1.91× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 11.0% | $64.07 98.57 gems | 14.1% | 9 | 10.9 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-block-18-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $29.25 45 gems | 5.3% | 12 | 8.9 | 1.35× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-factory-new) | 10.0% | $13.13 20.2 gems | 2.6% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| Old School (Lenticular) sticker · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-old-school-lenticular) | 17.0% | $6.18 9.5 gems | 2.1% | 18 | 16.8 | 1.07× | | [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) | 17.0% | $2.60 4 gems | 0.9% | 20 | 16.8 | 1.19× | | [MAC-10 \| Light Box (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $0.92 1.41 gems | 0.2% | 7 | 11.9 | 0.59× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=retro-vibes) [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC [Sticker | Old School (Lenticular) sticker · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-old-school-lenticular) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $6.18 9.5 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $79.43 122 gems 1.43x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 15:31 UTC [P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC [Sticker | Old School (Lenticular) sticker · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-old-school-lenticular) Hidden $55.61 85.56 gems $6.18 9.5 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $55.61 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 3.0% covert 32.0% #8847ff 19.0% red 17.0% pink 17.0% blue 12.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt