--- title: "Reverse case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Reverse ($7.70) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.99% over 5,573 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse rendered: 2026-11-11T14:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Reverse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Reverse A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse?window=all) Price · $7.70 · 11.84 gems Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $6.92 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.99% · 5,573 openings, odds method Variance · 12.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 112.41% ±28.96 566 openings 7 days · 94.65% ±9.84 4,904 openings 30 days · 92.99% ±9.23 5,573 openings since tracking started · 92.99% ±9.23 5,573 openings 83.0% 112.5% 142.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse?window=24h) | 566 | 112.41% ±29.0 | +1.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse?window=7d) | 4,904 | 94.65% ±9.84 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse) | 5,573 | 92.99% ±9.23 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/reverse?window=all) | 5,573 | 92.99% ±9.23 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,775 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $231 356 gems | 33.4% | 60 | 57.7 | 1.04× | | [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $126 194 gems | 18.3% | 60 | 57.7 | 1.04× | | [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $63.71 98.01 gems | 9.2% | 56 | 57.7 | 0.97× | | [MP7 \| Teal Blossom (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-teal-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $51.23 78.81 gems | 7.4% | 66 | 57.7 | 1.14× | | [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $28.31 43.56 gems | 4.1% | 56 | 57.7 | 0.97× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $20.01 30.79 gems | 2.9% | 53 | 57.7 | 0.92× | | [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $9.46 14.56 gems | 5.5% | 223 | 231.0 | 0.97× | | [P90 \| Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) | 90.0% | $1.48 2.28 gems | 19.3% | 5,201 | 5197.5 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=reverse) [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) [rice](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rice) $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [AUG | Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $9.46 14.56 gems 1.23x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC [P90 | Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) Hidden $7.70 11.84 gems $1.48 2.28 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $7.70 | 89.96% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 1.0% classified 2.0% Mil Spec Grade 1.0% #4b69ff 1.0% restricted 1.0% mil spec 94.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt