---
title: "Revolution Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Revolution Case ($4.10) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.91% from 41 items with odds, observed 82.24% over 12.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Revolution Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Revolution Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case?window=all)

Price · $4.10 · 6.3 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.91% · EV $3.68 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.24% · 12.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 785.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 2,500 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1,309 openings · below min

7 days · 9,361 openings · below min

30 days · 12,149 openings · below min

since tracking started · 12,149 openings · below min

-0.5% 88.0% 176.5%

**Small sample.** 12,149 openings and 4.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case?window=24h) | 1,309 | 24.28% ±151.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case?window=7d) | 9,361 | 50.93% ±56.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case) | 12.1K | 82.24% ±49.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/revolution-case?window=all) | 12.1K | 82.24% ±49.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.2K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,581 14,741 gems | 26.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,334 6,668 gems | 11.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,919 4,491 gems | 7.9% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.46× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,057 3,164 gems | 5.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,687 2,595 gems | 4.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,154 1,775 gems | 3.1% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.46× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,044 1,607 gems | 2.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $803 1,235 gems | 2.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $801 1,232 gems | 2.2% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.46× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $571 879 gems | 1.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $533 820 gems | 1.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $506 779 gems | 1.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $483 743 gems | 1.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $423 650 gems | 1.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $322 496 gems | 0.9% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $303 466 gems | 0.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $242 372 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $192 295 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $191 293 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $188 289 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $185 284 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $170 261 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $155 239 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $118 181 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $64.74 99.6 gems | 5.6% | 41 | 39.0 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $39.00 60 gems | 3.4% | 52 | 39.0 | 1.33× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $6.27 9.64 gems | 1.8% | 123 | 129.9 | 0.95× |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $6.12 9.42 gems | 1.8% | 140 | 129.9 | 1.08× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $6.12 9.41 gems | 1.8% | 141 | 129.9 | 1.09× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.40 2.16 gems | 1.2% | 365 | 389.5 | 0.94× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.01 1.56 gems | 0.9% | 387 | 389.5 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.91 1.4 gems | 0.8% | 403 | 389.5 | 1.03× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.84 1.29 gems | 0.7% | 364 | 389.5 | 0.93× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.49 0.76 gems | 0.4% | 425 | 389.5 | 1.09× |
| [MP9 \| Featherweight (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.16 0.24 gems | 0.5% | 1,364 | 1391.4 | 0.98× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyberforce (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyberforce-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.15 0.23 gems | 0.5% | 1,367 | 1391.4 | 0.98× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.14 0.21 gems | 0.4% | 1,387 | 1391.4 | 1.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Liquidation (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.13 0.2 gems | 0.4% | 1,452 | 1391.4 | 1.04× |
| [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.4% | 1,352 | 1391.4 | 0.97× |
| [Tec-9 \| Rebel (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-rebel-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.4% | 1,414 | 1391.4 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Re.built (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.4% | 1,380 | 1394.2 | 0.99× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $9,581 14,741 gems 2,340x 2026-11-04 04:41 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $2,919 4,491 gems 712.8x 2026-11-08 20:43 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $2,919 4,491 gems 712.8x 2026-11-06 12:51 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) [kiloko6](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/kiloko6) $4.10 6.3 gems $2,919 4,491 gems 712.8x 2026-11-03 18:29 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) [Yoda!](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Yoda!) $4.10 6.3 gems $1,154 1,775 gems 281.7x 2026-11-05 20:27 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $1,154 1,775 gems 281.7x 2026-11-03 22:17 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $1,154 1,775 gems 281.7x 2026-11-03 21:45 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $803 1,235 gems 196.1x 2026-11-08 20:36 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $801 1,232 gems 195.6x 2026-11-05 16:59 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $801 1,232 gems 195.6x 2026-11-04 01:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=revolution-case)

[SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[MP5-SD | Liquidation (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[MP9 | Featherweight (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

[UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $6.12 9.41 gems 1.49x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[P250 | Re.built (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $4.10 6.3 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $0.84 1.29 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[MP5-SD | Liquidation (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[P250 | Re.built (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[AWP | Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $6.27 9.64 gems 1.53x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[P250 | Re.built (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-factory-new) Hidden $4.10 6.3 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $4.10 | 89.91% | 41 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.2% legendary 0.1% Extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.3% Ancient 0.3% pink 2.1% classified 1.1% restricted 3.2% #8847ff 6.4% Mythical 3.2% violet 3.2% mil spec 11.4% Rare 11.4% blue 22.9% milspec 22.8% #4b69ff 11.4% best hit $9,581 (2,340x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.91 on average: an expected loss of $10.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt