--- title: "Rewind case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rewind ($6,156.82) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 19.89% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind rendered: 2026-11-11T22:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Rewind](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Rewind A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind?window=all) Price · $6,156.82 · 9,472 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $5,541.14 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 19.89% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 72.5% 145.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind?window=24h) | 6 | 19.89% ±124.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind?window=7d) | 6 | 19.89% ±124.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind) | 6 | 19.89% ±124.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rewind?window=all) | 6 | 19.89% ±124.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $44.6K 68,678 gems | 16.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $35.6K 54,746 gems | 19.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $25.8K 39,717 gems | 14.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $15.9K 24,499 gems | 14.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $11.5K 17,749 gems | 10.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 10.0% | $5,970 9,185 gems | 10.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 10.0% | $4,303 6,620 gems | 7.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 12.5% | $1,599 2,459 gems | 3.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| compLexity Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 12.5% | $890 1,369 gems | 2.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) | 17.0% | $287 442 gems | 0.9% | 4 | 1.0 | 3.92× | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-katowice-2014) | 20.0% | $231 355 gems | 0.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $6,157 9,472 gems $5,970 9,185 gems 0.97x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=rewind) [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-katowice-2014) Hidden $6,157 9,472 gems $231 355 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $6,157 9,472 gems $287 442 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $6,157 9,472 gems $287 442 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $6,157 9,472 gems $5,970 9,185 gems 0.97x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) Hidden $6,157 9,472 gems $287 442 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [Sticker | Clan-Mystik | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-katowice-2014) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $6,157 9,472 gems $287 442 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $6,157 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 10.0% remarkable 40.5% high 49.5% best hit $5,970 (0.97x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt