--- title: "Rich Kid case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rich Kid ($169.72) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 99.18% over 1,770 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid rendered: 2026-11-11T19:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Rich Kid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Rich Kid A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid?window=all) Price · $169.72 · 261 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $152.75 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.18% · 1,770 openings, odds method Variance · 15.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84 openings · below min 7 days · 98.43% ±19.74 1,561 openings 30 days · 99.18% ±18.54 1,770 openings since tracking started · 99.18% ±18.54 1,770 openings -0.5% 76.5% 153.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid?window=24h) | 84 | 67.79% ±85.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid?window=7d) | 1,561 | 98.43% ±19.7 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid) | 1,770 | 99.18% ±18.5 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rich-kid?window=all) | 1,770 | 99.18% ±18.5 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,784 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $9,169 14,106 gems | 15.0% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.57× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $7,138 10,982 gems | 11.7% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 400 | $5,134 7,899 gems | 8.4% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.35× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $3,751 5,770 gems | 6.1% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.12× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,940 2,985 gems | 6.4% | 13 | 8.9 | 1.46× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,201 1,847 gems | 3.9% | 8 | 8.9 | 0.90× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Sunburst (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-sunburst-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $650 1,000 gems | 4.3% | 18 | 17.8 | 1.01× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $488 750 gems | 6.4% | 45 | 35.7 | 1.26× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $265 408 gems | 8.7% | 91 | 89.2 | 1.02× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $89.70 138 gems | 2.9% | 83 | 89.2 | 0.93× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 85.0% | $47.14 72.52 gems | 26.2% | 1,506 | 1516.4 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $170 261 gems $9,169 14,106 gems 54.02x 2026-11-10 04:38 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $170 261 gems $9,169 14,106 gems 54.02x 2026-11-08 19:42 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $170 261 gems $9,169 14,106 gems 54.02x 2026-11-08 16:32 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $170 261 gems $9,169 14,106 gems 54.02x 2026-11-08 01:07 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $170 261 gems $9,169 14,106 gems 54.02x 2026-11-05 06:13 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $170 261 gems $9,169 14,106 gems 54.02x 2026-11-04 20:30 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $170 261 gems $9,169 14,106 gems 54.02x 2026-11-04 07:16 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $170 261 gems $7,138 10,982 gems 42.06x 2026-11-10 09:48 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $170 261 gems $7,138 10,982 gems 42.06x 2026-11-04 04:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $170 261 gems $5,134 7,899 gems 30.25x 2026-11-08 16:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=rich-kid) [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $170 261 gems $47.14 72.52 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $170 261 gems $47.14 72.52 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $170 261 gems $47.14 72.52 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $170 261 gems $47.14 72.52 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $170 261 gems $47.14 72.52 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) [Live @ Kick/JaekCreates](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Live%20%40%20Kick%2FJaekCreates) $170 261 gems $1,201 1,847 gems 7.07x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $170 261 gems $47.14 72.52 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $170 261 gems $47.14 72.52 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $170 261 gems $488 750 gems 2.87x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $170 261 gems $47.14 72.52 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $170 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.8% covert 92.5% extraordinary 0.8% epic 5.0% best hit $9,169 (54.02x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt