---
title: "RING OF FIRE case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "RING OF FIRE ($37.95) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 76.01% over 1,378 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire
rendered: 2026-11-12T04:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [RING OF FIRE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · RING OF FIRE

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire?window=all)

Price · $37.95 · 58.38 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $34.15 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.01% · 1,378 openings, odds method

Variance · 15.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 70 openings · below min

7 days · 70.75% ±22.90 1,098 openings

30 days · 76.01% ±20.45 1,378 openings

since tracking started · 76.01% ±20.45 1,378 openings

-0.5% 79.5% 159.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire?window=24h) | 70 | 68.19% ±90.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire?window=7d) | 1,098 | 70.75% ±22.9 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire) | 1,378 | 76.01% ±20.4 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ring-of-fire?window=all) | 1,378 | 76.01% ±20.4 | −1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,378 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,378 2,120 gems | 40.4% | 8 | 13.8 | 0.58× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $349 538 gems | 20.5% | 28 | 27.6 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $186 287 gems | 16.4% | 46 | 41.3 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $74.75 115 gems | 8.8% | 49 | 55.1 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $25.49 39.21 gems | 3.7% | 75 | 68.9 | 1.09× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 10.0% | $12.53 19.28 gems | 3.7% | 134 | 137.8 | 0.97× |
| [XM1014 \| Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-field-tested) | 10.0% | $8.50 13.07 gems | 2.5% | 147 | 137.8 | 1.07× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-well-worn) | 10.0% | $5.97 9.18 gems | 1.7% | 120 | 137.8 | 0.87× |
| [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.92 6.03 gems | 1.1% | 131 | 137.8 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Firestarter (Holo) sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-firestarter-holo) | 10.0% | $2.48 3.81 gems | 0.7% | 140 | 137.8 | 1.02× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.63 2.51 gems | 0.5% | 155 | 137.8 | 1.12× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.08 0.13 gems | 0.1% | 345 | 344.5 | 1.00× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $1,378 2,120 gems 36.31x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [LokiI](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LokiI) $37.95 58.38 gems $1,378 2,120 gems 36.31x 2026-11-09 20:13 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $1,378 2,120 gems 36.31x 2026-11-06 06:36 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [Rayan 肖恩](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Rayan%20%E8%82%96%E6%81%A9) $37.95 58.38 gems $1,378 2,120 gems 36.31x 2026-11-05 21:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $1,378 2,120 gems 36.31x 2026-11-05 09:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $1,378 2,120 gems 36.31x 2026-11-05 03:42 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $1,378 2,120 gems 36.31x 2026-11-03 19:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $1,378 2,120 gems 36.31x 2026-11-03 18:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=ring-of-fire)

[Sticker | Firestarter (Holo) sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-firestarter-holo) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $2.48 3.81 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 22:34 UTC

[XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-field-tested) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $8.50 13.07 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 22:34 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:34 UTC

[M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $25.49 39.21 gems 0.67x 2026-11-11 22:34 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:34 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Trecky) $37.95 58.38 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:34 UTC

[MAC-10 | Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-field-tested) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $1.63 2.51 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC

[XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-field-tested) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $8.50 13.07 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $349 538 gems 9.21x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC

[M4A4 | Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.95 58.38 gems $25.49 39.21 gems 0.67x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $37.95 | 89.99% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 25.0% rare 2.0% restricted 3.0% classified 5.0% mil spec 20.0% Rare 10.0% #8847ff 10.0% milspec 25.0% best hit $1,378 (36.31x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt