--- title: "Rinsed case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rinsed ($48.16) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 93.96% over 1,300 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed rendered: 2026-11-11T17:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Rinsed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Rinsed A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed?window=all) Price · $48.16 · 74.09 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $43.34 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.96% · 1,300 openings, odds method Variance · 18.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84 openings · below min 7 days · 79.75% ±26.17 1,038 openings 30 days · 93.96% ±23.39 1,300 openings since tracking started · 93.96% ±23.39 1,300 openings -0.5% 82.3% 165.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed?window=24h) | 84 | 72.52% ±92.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed?window=7d) | 1,038 | 79.75% ±26.2 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed) | 1,300 | 93.96% ±23.4 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/rinsed?window=all) | 1,300 | 93.96% ±23.4 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,309 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $3,770 5,800 gems | 17.4% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $1,593 2,450 gems | 11.0% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× | | [Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-cobblestone-souvenir-package) | 1 in 200 | $898 1,381 gems | 10.4% | 7 | 6.5 | 1.07× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $344 530 gems | 7.9% | 18 | 13.1 | 1.38× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $258 396 gems | 11.9% | 28 | 26.2 | 1.07× | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $196 301 gems | 13.6% | 50 | 39.3 | 1.27× | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Foil) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-foil-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 33 | $124 191 gems | 8.6% | 38 | 39.3 | 0.97× | | [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $89.96 138 gems | 10.4% | 55 | 65.5 | 0.84× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $64.86 99.79 gems | 7.5% | 75 | 65.5 | 1.15× | | [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) | 80.0% | $0.75 1.15 gems | 1.4% | 1,033 | 1047.2 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $3,770 5,800 gems 78.28x 2026-11-04 09:32 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $3,770 5,800 gems 78.28x 2026-11-04 06:16 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $3,770 5,800 gems 78.28x 2026-11-04 04:19 UTC [Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $1,593 2,450 gems 33.07x 2026-11-09 17:37 UTC [Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $1,593 2,450 gems 33.07x 2026-11-07 21:47 UTC [Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $898 1,381 gems 18.64x 2026-11-07 22:25 UTC [Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $898 1,381 gems 18.64x 2026-11-07 22:20 UTC [Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-cobblestone-souvenir-package) [conq](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/conq) $48.16 74.09 gems $898 1,381 gems 18.64x 2026-11-07 21:41 UTC [Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $898 1,381 gems 18.64x 2026-11-07 21:40 UTC [Cologne 2016 Cobblestone Souvenir Package container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-cobblestone-souvenir-package) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $898 1,381 gems 18.64x 2026-11-07 21:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=rinsed) [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $258 396 gems 5.35x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) [Ceontea](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ceontea) $48.16 74.09 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $48.16 74.09 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $64.86 99.79 gems 1.35x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) Hidden $48.16 74.09 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $48.16 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.2% high 0.3% #B0C3D9 0.5% restricted 8.0% exotic 3.0% violet 80.0% best hit $3,770 (78.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt