---
title: "Romix Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Romix Case ($99.01) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 109.71% over 2,389 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Romix Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Romix Case

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case?window=all)

Price · $99.01 · 152 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $89.11 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 109.71% · 2,389 openings, odds method

Variance · 82.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 137 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 132 openings · below min

7 days · 110.41% ±38.82 2,112 openings

30 days · 109.71% ±36.50 2,389 openings

since tracking started · 109.71% ±36.50 2,389 openings

-0.5% 133.0% 266.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case?window=24h) | 132 | 110.67% ±155.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case?window=7d) | 2,112 | 110.41% ±38.8 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case) | 2,389 | 109.71% ±36.5 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case?window=all) | 2,389 | 109.71% ±36.5 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,470 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Blue Gem) (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-blue-gem-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $137K 210,000 gems | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 5,000 | $26K 40,000 gems | 5.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $17.2K 26,400 gems | 3.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 667 | $10K 15,421 gems | 16.9% | 8 | 3.7 | 2.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $6,435 9,901 gems | 10.8% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 258 | $2,418 3,720 gems | 10.5% | 8 | 9.6 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $1,127 1,734 gems | 8.9% | 18 | 17.3 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 77 | $591 910 gems | 8.6% | 26 | 32.1 | 0.81× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $385 592 gems | 6.5% | 33 | 37.0 | 0.89× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $207 319 gems | 7.9% | 103 | 84.0 | 1.23× |
| [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 17 | $86.37 133 gems | 5.8% | 153 | 148.2 | 1.03× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 12.0% | $47.89 73.68 gems | 6.4% | 274 | 296.4 | 0.92× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $26.47 40.73 gems | 4.5% | 387 | 370.5 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 59.4% | $0.63 0.97 gems | 0.4% | 1,456 | 1466.4 | 0.99× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $26K 40,000 gems 262.6x 2026-11-10 11:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $17.2K 26,400 gems 173.3x 2026-11-04 05:57 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $10K 15,421 gems 101.2x 2026-11-11 00:09 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $10K 15,421 gems 101.2x 2026-11-08 14:19 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $10K 15,421 gems 101.2x 2026-11-07 02:50 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $10K 15,421 gems 101.2x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $10K 15,421 gems 101.2x 2026-11-05 21:53 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $10K 15,421 gems 101.2x 2026-11-05 01:19 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $10K 15,421 gems 101.2x 2026-11-05 01:13 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $10K 15,421 gems 101.2x 2026-11-04 23:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=romix-case)

[Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $26.47 40.73 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $26.47 40.73 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $47.89 73.68 gems 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $99.01 152 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Sticker | Flipsid3 Tactics (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $86.37 133 gems 0.87x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $0.63 0.97 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $99.01 152 gems $26.47 40.73 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $99.01 | 90.00% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 0.0% remarkable 1.3% contraband 0.0% covert 1.2% legendary 0.1% classified 4.9% Exotic 6.0% restricted 27.0% mil spec 59.4% best hit $26K (262.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
