--- title: "Royal Flush case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Royal Flush ($45.02) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 92.27% over 656 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush rendered: 2026-11-12T01:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Royal Flush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Royal Flush A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush?window=all) Price · $45.02 · 69.26 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $40.51 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.27% · 656 openings, odds method Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.84% ±39.80 122 openings 7 days · 95.94% ±19.90 488 openings 30 days · 92.27% ±17.16 656 openings since tracking started · 92.27% ±17.16 656 openings 46.5% 87.0% 127.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush?window=24h) | 122 | 86.84% ±39.8 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush?window=7d) | 488 | 95.94% ±19.9 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush) | 656 | 92.27% ±17.2 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/royal-flush?window=all) | 656 | 92.27% ±17.2 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 656 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $885 1,362 gems | 10.9% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.22× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $632 972 gems | 7.8% | 8 | 3.3 | 2.44× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $281 432 gems | 34.6% | 28 | 32.8 | 0.85× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $177 272 gems | 21.8% | 28 | 32.8 | 0.85× | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $73.98 114 gems | 9.1% | 27 | 32.8 | 0.82× | | [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $41.68 64.13 gems | 5.1% | 32 | 32.8 | 0.98× | | [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $31.49 48.44 gems | 3.9% | 23 | 32.8 | 0.70× | | [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.37 22.11 gems | 1.8% | 33 | 32.8 | 1.01× | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $6.56 10.09 gems | 0.8% | 23 | 32.8 | 0.70× | | [UMP-45 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-well-worn) | 64.0% | $2.61 4.01 gems | 4.1% | 450 | 419.8 | 1.07× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $885 1,362 gems 19.67x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $885 1,362 gems 19.67x 2026-11-10 13:55 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $885 1,362 gems 19.67x 2026-11-10 04:13 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) [Silly Kangaroo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Silly%20Kangaroo) $45.02 69.26 gems $885 1,362 gems 19.67x 2026-11-07 15:31 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $632 972 gems 14.04x 2026-11-12 00:53 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $632 972 gems 14.04x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $632 972 gems 14.04x 2026-11-11 09:51 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $632 972 gems 14.04x 2026-11-10 14:35 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $632 972 gems 14.04x 2026-11-09 22:32 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $632 972 gems 14.04x 2026-11-08 13:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=royal-flush) [UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $2.61 4.01 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:53 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $632 972 gems 14.04x 2026-11-12 00:53 UTC [SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) [Beetle](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Beetle) $45.02 69.26 gems $14.37 22.11 gems 0.32x 2026-11-12 00:53 UTC [UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $2.61 4.01 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC [FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $41.68 64.13 gems 0.93x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC [UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $2.61 4.01 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC [UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $2.61 4.01 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $177 272 gems 3.92x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC [UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-well-worn) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $45.02 69.26 gems $2.61 4.01 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC [UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-neo-noir-well-worn) Hidden $45.02 69.26 gems $2.61 4.01 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $45.02 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.5% extraordinary 0.5% restricted 5.0% pink 74.0% classified 5.0% #d32ee6 5.0% best hit $885 (19.67x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt