--- title: "Russian Roullete case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Russian Roullete ($6.15) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 6 items with odds, observed 84.86% over 2,501 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete rendered: 2026-11-11T19:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Russian Roullete](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Russian Roullete A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete?window=all) Price · $6.15 · 9.46 gems Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $5.53 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.86% · 2,501 openings, odds method Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 69.19% ±18.76 384 openings 7 days · 86.59% ±7.97 2,127 openings 30 days · 84.86% ±7.35 2,501 openings since tracking started · 84.86% ±7.35 2,501 openings 50.0% 72.5% 95.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete?window=24h) | 384 | 69.19% ±18.8 | −2.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete?window=7d) | 2,127 | 86.59% ±7.97 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete) | 2,501 | 84.86% ±7.35 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/russian-roullete?window=all) | 2,501 | 84.86% ±7.35 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,513 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 16.6% | $31.38 48.27 gems | 94.2% | 392 | 417.2 | 0.94× | | [R8 Revolver \| Survivalist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-factory-new) | 16.6% | $0.59 0.9 gems | 1.8% | 414 | 417.2 | 0.99× | | [R8 Revolver \| Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) | 16.6% | $0.52 0.8 gems | 1.6% | 431 | 417.2 | 1.03× | | [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) | 16.6% | $0.41 0.63 gems | 1.2% | 428 | 417.2 | 1.03× | | [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-factory-new) | 16.6% | $0.27 0.41 gems | 0.8% | 420 | 417.2 | 1.01× | | [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) | 17.0% | $0.16 0.25 gems | 0.5% | 428 | 427.2 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=russian-roullete) [R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-factory-new) Hidden $6.15 9.46 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Grip (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) Hidden $6.15 9.46 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-factory-new) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sharkinz) $6.15 9.46 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Grip (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) Hidden $6.15 9.46 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-factory-new) Hidden $6.15 9.46 gems $0.52 0.8 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Grip (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sharkinz) $6.15 9.46 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) Hidden $6.15 9.46 gems $0.41 0.63 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $6.15 9.46 gems $31.38 48.27 gems 5.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-factory-new) [Sharkinz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sharkinz) $6.15 9.46 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $6.15 9.46 gems $31.38 48.27 gems 5.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6.15 | 89.96% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 16.6% mil spec 50.2% blue 16.6% Rare 16.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt