--- title: "Sacred case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sacred ($25.45) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 109.65% over 533 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred rendered: 2026-11-11T15:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sacred](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sacred A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred?window=all) Price · $25.45 · 39.16 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $22.91 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 109.65% · 533 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 50 openings · below min 7 days · 104.73% ±19.71 463 openings 30 days · 109.65% ±18.37 533 openings since tracking started · 109.65% ±18.37 533 openings 33.0% 93.8% 154.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 90.00% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (91.28% – 128.02%, 533 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred?window=24h) | 50 | 93.68% ±60.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred?window=7d) | 463 | 104.73% ±19.7 | +1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred) | 533 | 109.65% ±18.4 | +2.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sacred?window=all) | 533 | 109.65% ±18.4 | +2.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 537 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $307 473 gems | 26.8% | 13 | 10.7 | 1.21× | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $182 281 gems | 31.8% | 33 | 21.5 | 1.54× | | [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $67.96 105 gems | 11.9% | 21 | 21.5 | 0.98× | | [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-factory-new) | 10.0% | $35.36 54.4 gems | 15.4% | 52 | 53.7 | 0.97× | | [MAG-7 \| Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-chainmail-factory-new) | 10.0% | $15.39 23.68 gems | 6.7% | 49 | 53.7 | 0.91× | | [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.36 11.32 gems | 3.2% | 49 | 53.7 | 0.91× | | [SG 553 \| Barricade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-barricade-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.30 5.08 gems | 1.4% | 54 | 53.7 | 1.01× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.11 3.25 gems | 0.9% | 65 | 53.7 | 1.21× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.38 2.12 gems | 1.2% | 93 | 107.4 | 0.87× | | [MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.62 0.96 gems | 0.5% | 108 | 107.4 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sacred) [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $1.38 2.12 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC [AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $182 281 gems 7.16x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC [MAC-10 | Copper Borre (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $67.96 105 gems 2.67x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC [SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $7.36 11.32 gems 0.29x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC [SG 553 | Barricade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-barricade-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $3.30 5.08 gems 0.13x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) [elfanta](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/elfanta) $25.45 39.16 gems $1.38 2.12 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC [P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-well-worn) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $307 473 gems 12.07x 2026-11-10 22:31 UTC [MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $0.62 0.96 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:31 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $1.38 2.12 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 22:31 UTC [M4A1-S | Moss Quartz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $35.36 54.4 gems 1.39x 2026-11-10 22:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $25.45 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 6.0% blue 4.0% industrial 20.0% consumer 10.0% Common 10.0% mil spec 10.0% classified 20.0% Mythical 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt