--- title: "Safe & Sound case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Safe & Sound ($18.49) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.46% over 1,810 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound rendered: 2026-11-11T20:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Safe & Sound](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Safe & Sound A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound?window=all) Price · $18.49 · 28.44 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $16.63 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.46% · 1,810 openings, odds method Variance · 12.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90 openings · below min 7 days · 91.23% ±17.90 1,477 openings 30 days · 90.46% ±16.17 1,810 openings since tracking started · 90.46% ±16.17 1,810 openings -0.5% 54.8% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound?window=24h) | 90 | 32.79% ±72.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound?window=7d) | 1,477 | 91.23% ±17.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound) | 1,810 | 90.46% ±16.2 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/safe-and-sound?window=all) | 1,810 | 90.46% ±16.2 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,838 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,560 2,400 gems | 9.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.54× | | [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $246 378 gems | 14.8% | 20 | 18.4 | 1.09× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-vanilla) | 1 in 100 | $239 367 gems | 14.4% | 23 | 18.4 | 1.25× | | [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $176 270 gems | 21.1% | 34 | 36.8 | 0.92× | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $64.32 98.96 gems | 19.3% | 101 | 91.9 | 1.10× | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $32.16 49.47 gems | 9.7% | 99 | 91.9 | 1.08× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.44 5.29 gems | 2.1% | 197 | 183.8 | 1.07× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 15.0% | $2.89 4.45 gems | 2.6% | 260 | 275.7 | 0.94× | | [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 25.9% | $1.87 2.87 gems | 2.9% | 429 | 476.0 | 0.90× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $1.79 2.76 gems | 3.8% | 674 | 643.3 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-factory-new) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $1,560 2,400 gems 84.40x 2026-11-10 13:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=safe-and-sound) [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $1.79 2.76 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $3.44 5.29 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) [colin](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/colin) $18.49 28.44 gems $3.44 5.29 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $2.89 4.45 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) Hidden $18.49 28.44 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [Lupin](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lupin) $18.49 28.44 gems $1.79 2.76 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $18.49 | 89.97% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 18.0% other 1.0% red 5.0% classified 15.0% #d32ee6 25.9% Legendary 35.0% best hit $1,560 (84.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt