--- title: "Sakkaku 15% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sakkaku 15% ($162.50) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 22.94% over 80 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent rendered: 2026-11-13T05:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sakkaku 15%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sakkaku 15% A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent?window=all) Price · $162.50 · 250 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 22.94% · 80 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 60 openings · below min 7 days · 72 openings · below min 30 days · 80 openings · below min since tracking started · 80 openings · below min 4.5% 23.0% 41.5% **Small sample.** 80 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent?window=24h) | 60 | 16.07% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent?window=7d) | 72 | 16.57% ±10.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent) | 80 | 22.94% ±18.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sakkaku-15percent?window=all) | 80 | 22.94% ±18.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1,032 1,587 gems 6.35x 2026-11-05 23:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sakkaku-15percent) [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 04:00 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $253 389 gems 1.55x 2026-11-13 04:00 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 04:00 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 04:00 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 04:00 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) [MpiXelss](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MpiXelss) $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 04:00 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 03:58 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 03:58 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 03:58 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-sakkaku-factory-new) Hidden $163 250 gems $1.61 2.47 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 03:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,032 (6.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 22.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $22.94 on average: an expected loss of $77.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt