--- title: "Samz Spaceship case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Samz Spaceship ($25.45) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.78% over 723 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship rendered: 2026-11-11T18:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Samz Spaceship](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Samz Spaceship A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship?window=all) Price · $25.45 · 39.16 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $22.91 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.78% · 723 openings, odds method Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96 openings · below min 7 days · 79.88% ±17.15 579 openings 30 days · 90.78% ±15.34 723 openings since tracking started · 90.78% ±15.34 723 openings 13.5% 60.3% 107.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship?window=24h) | 96 | 56.25% ±42.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship?window=7d) | 579 | 79.88% ±17.1 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship) | 723 | 90.78% ±15.3 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/samz-spaceship?window=all) | 723 | 90.78% ±15.3 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 723 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 10.0% | $183 281 gems | 79.7% | 73 | 72.3 | 1.01× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 10.0% | $18.79 28.91 gems | 8.2% | 65 | 72.3 | 0.90× | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 10.0% | $14.12 21.73 gems | 6.2% | 84 | 72.3 | 1.16× | | [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.97 9.19 gems | 2.6% | 73 | 72.3 | 1.01× | | [P2000 \| Space Race (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.93 6.05 gems | 1.7% | 66 | 72.3 | 0.91× | | [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.95 1.46 gems | 0.4% | 79 | 72.3 | 1.09× | | [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.94 1.44 gems | 0.4% | 74 | 72.3 | 1.02× | | [P250 \| Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.85 1.3 gems | 0.4% | 76 | 72.3 | 1.05× | | [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.79 1.21 gems | 0.3% | 70 | 72.3 | 0.97× | | [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.13 0.2 gems | 0.1% | 63 | 72.3 | 0.87× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=samz-spaceship) [PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $0.95 1.46 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $0.79 1.21 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $14.12 21.73 gems 0.55x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) [Kick/HarryJZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%2FHarryJZ) $25.45 39.16 gems $18.79 28.91 gems 0.74x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $0.79 1.21 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [P250 | Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $0.85 1.3 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [P250 | Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) [Liborosak](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Liborosak) $25.45 39.16 gems $0.85 1.3 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $5.97 9.19 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 39.16 gems $18.79 28.91 gems 0.74x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $25.45 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 30.0% restricted 30.0% #8847ff 10.0% Mythical 10.0% blue 10.0% mil spec 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt