---
title: "Sand Storm case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sand Storm ($14.20) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 4 items with odds, observed 88.63% over 649 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sand Storm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sand Storm

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm?window=all)

Price · $14.20 · 21.85 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $12.78 from 4 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.63% · 649 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.23% ±17.38 139 openings

7 days · 84.76% ±8.88 533 openings

30 days · 88.63% ±8.04 649 openings

since tracking started · 88.63% ±8.04 649 openings

66.0% 84.3% 102.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm?window=24h) | 139 | 84.23% ±17.4 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm?window=7d) | 533 | 84.76% ±8.88 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm) | 649 | 88.63% ±8.04 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sand-storm?window=all) | 649 | 88.63% ±8.04 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 651 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) | 20.0% | $36.00 55.38 gems | 56.3% | 128 | 130.2 | 0.98× |
| [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) | 20.0% | $24.90 38.3 gems | 39.0% | 127 | 130.2 | 0.98× |
| [Galil AR \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $1.28 1.97 gems | 3.0% | 209 | 195.3 | 1.07× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $0.72 1.11 gems | 1.7% | 187 | 195.3 | 0.96× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sand-storm)

[Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.20 21.85 gems $0.72 1.11 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) [Dubayy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dubayy) $14.20 21.85 gems $0.72 1.11 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) [Mafumafu 100% real](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mafumafu%20100%25%20real) $14.20 21.85 gems $24.90 38.3 gems 1.75x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $14.20 21.85 gems $24.90 38.3 gems 1.75x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $14.20 21.85 gems $24.90 38.3 gems 1.75x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[Galil AR | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.20 21.85 gems $1.28 1.97 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) Hidden $14.20 21.85 gems $36.00 55.38 gems 2.53x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[Galil AR | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.20 21.85 gems $1.28 1.97 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[Galil AR | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-minimal-wear) [thegamblingbandits.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/thegamblingbandits.com) $14.20 21.85 gems $1.28 1.97 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:00 UTC

[Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.20 21.85 gems $0.72 1.11 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $14.20 | 89.98% | 4 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 20.0% consumer 20.0% Mil Spec Grade 30.0% mil spec 30.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
