--- title: "Santa's Snipers & Shooters on Clash.gg: odds & RTP" description: "Santa's Snipers & Shooters ($477.72) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.14% over 278 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters rendered: 2026-11-12T10:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Santa's Snipers & Shooters](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Santa's Snipers & Shooters A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters?window=all) Price · $477.72 · 735 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $429.94 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.14% · 278 openings, odds method Variance · 10.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 148 openings · below min 30 days · 86.14% ±38.12 278 openings since tracking started · 86.14% ±38.12 278 openings 47.5% 396.8% 746.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters?window=24h) | 10 | 544.54% ±201.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters?window=7d) | 148 | 110.71% ±52.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters) | 278 | 86.14% ±38.1 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/santas-snipers-and-shooters?window=all) | 278 | 86.14% ±38.1 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 278 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $10.8K 16,610 gems | 25.1% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $7,384 11,360 gems | 34.3% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.08× | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $3,145 4,839 gems | 21.9% | 5 | 8.3 | 0.60× | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $758 1,166 gems | 7.1% | 9 | 11.1 | 0.81× | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $363 558 gems | 4.2% | 18 | 13.9 | 1.29× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $99.22 153 gems | 3.5% | 40 | 41.7 | 0.96× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 15.0% | $48.05 73.93 gems | 1.7% | 40 | 41.7 | 0.96× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 15.0% | $27.35 42.08 gems | 1.0% | 48 | 41.7 | 1.15× | | [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $17.49 26.91 gems | 0.8% | 52 | 55.6 | 0.94× | | [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $8.86 13.63 gems | 0.4% | 57 | 55.6 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 06:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $478 735 gems $10.8K 16,610 gems 22.60x 2026-11-12 00:18 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $478 735 gems $10.8K 16,610 gems 22.60x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $478 735 gems $10.8K 16,610 gems 22.60x 2026-11-03 04:37 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $478 735 gems $7,384 11,360 gems 15.46x 2026-11-12 00:18 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $478 735 gems $7,384 11,360 gems 15.46x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $478 735 gems $7,384 11,360 gems 15.46x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $478 735 gems $7,384 11,360 gems 15.46x 2026-11-09 11:07 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $478 735 gems $7,384 11,360 gems 15.46x 2026-11-07 07:56 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $478 735 gems $7,384 11,360 gems 15.46x 2026-11-04 12:55 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $478 735 gems $3,145 4,839 gems 6.58x 2026-11-10 02:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=santas-snipers-and-shooters) [AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) Hidden $478 735 gems $48.05 73.93 gems 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:18 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $478 735 gems $10.8K 16,610 gems 22.60x 2026-11-12 00:18 UTC [AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) Hidden $478 735 gems $99.22 153 gems 0.21x 2026-11-12 00:18 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $478 735 gems $7,384 11,360 gems 15.46x 2026-11-12 00:18 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) Hidden $478 735 gems $27.35 42.08 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) Hidden $478 735 gems $99.22 153 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) Hidden $478 735 gems $7,384 11,360 gems 15.46x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) Hidden $478 735 gems $27.35 42.08 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) [$12K LB Wasted.bet](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%2412K%20LB%20Wasted.bet) $478 735 gems $48.05 73.93 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $478 735 gems $99.22 153 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $478 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.0% covert 44.0% classified 15.0% blue 20.0% Classified 20.0% best hit $10.8K (22.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt