--- title: "Save case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Save ($3.64) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.18% over 6,313 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Save](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Save A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save?window=all) Price · $3.64 · 5.6 gems Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $3.27 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.18% · 6,313 openings, odds method Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.25% ±16.59 837 openings 7 days · 85.43% ±6.38 5,665 openings 30 days · 86.18% ±6.04 6,313 openings since tracking started · 86.18% ±6.04 6,313 openings 67.0% 84.3% 101.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save?window=24h) | 837 | 84.25% ±16.6 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save?window=7d) | 5,665 | 85.43% ±6.38 | −1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) | 6,313 | 86.18% ±6.04 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save?window=all) | 6,313 | 86.18% ±6.04 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,608 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $67.78 104 gems | 20.7% | 53 | 66.1 | 0.80× | | [UMP-45 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $47.83 73.58 gems | 14.6% | 72 | 66.1 | 1.09× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $33.55 51.62 gems | 10.2% | 55 | 66.1 | 0.83× | | [P250 \| Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $17.03 26.2 gems | 5.2% | 68 | 66.1 | 1.03× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $7.55 11.62 gems | 13.8% | 375 | 396.5 | 0.95× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4.71 7.24 gems | 14.4% | 647 | 660.8 | 0.98× | | [Tec-9 \| Bamboo Forest (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.59 5.52 gems | 11.0% | 666 | 660.8 | 1.01× | | [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.59 2.45 gems | 4.9% | 690 | 660.8 | 1.04× | | [SSG 08 \| Acid Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-acid-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.47 0.72 gems | 1.4% | 674 | 660.8 | 1.02× | | [USP-S \| Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) | 50.0% | $0.25 0.38 gems | 3.8% | 3,308 | 3304.0 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=save) [Tec-9 | Bamboo Forest (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboo-forest-factory-new) Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $3.59 5.52 gems 0.99x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $4.71 7.24 gems 1.29x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.64 5.6 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $7.55 11.62 gems 2.08x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.64 5.6 gems $1.59 2.45 gems 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $1.59 2.45 gems 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.64 5.6 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $4.71 7.24 gems 1.29x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $3.64 | 89.94% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.0% industrial 1.0% restricted 2.0% mil spec 70.0% consumer 10.0% Mythical 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt